Chris Gutierrez vs John Castaneda Pick, 04/26/2025 Predictions UFC Kansas City Odds
Chris Gutierrez vs John Castaneda
UFC Kansas City
T-Mobile Center in Kansas City
Saturday, April 26, 2025
Chris Gutierrez will enter the Octagon against John Castaneda at UFC Kansas City on Saturday, April 26, 2025. The opening line has Gutierrez coming in at -135 while Castaneda is at +114.
Chris "El Guapo" Gutierrez holds a career mark of 21-6-2. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". John "Sexi Mexi" Castaneda stands in at 5'6" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 21-7-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 71". In the category of significant strikes, Chris Gutierrez is landing 4.72 per min while John Castaneda is connecting on 4.67 significant strikes per minute. Gutierrez is connecting on 59% of the significant strikes he attempts while Castaneda lands 50%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "El Guapo" allows 2.64 significant strikes per min while "Sexi Mexi" takes 5.22. Gutierrez also defends 64% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Castaneda deflects 54% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Kansas City | Chris Gutierrez | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -135 | +114 |
| Record | 21-6-2 | 21-7-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:20 | 12:36 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'6" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 67" | 71" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.72 | 4.67 |
| Striking Accuracy | 59% | 50% |
In the category of takedowns, Chris Gutierrez is the lesser skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.26 times per 15 min. Gutierrez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of his attempts and stuffing 71% of all takedowns attempted on him. Castaneda is finishing his takedown tries on 35% of his takedown tries and stopping 71% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of going for the submission, Gutierrez is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.1 finishes per 15 minutes while Castaneda attempts 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes.
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The last time he fought, Chris Gutierrez faced Quang Le and wound up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Le ended up landing 32 of 87 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Gutierrez walked away from this fight having landed 69 of 88 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Le landed 16 of 69, which gave him a percentage of 23%. He ended up landing 6 of 55 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Gutierrez landed 75% of his significant strikes by landing 59 of 78. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 23 of 34 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Le and 98% of them connected on by Gutierrez were done at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for John Castaneda, he faced off with Daniel Marcos and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Marcos ended up landing 82% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Castaneda ended up landing 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Castaneda connected on 48% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 60 of 123. He ended up landing 26 of 75 significant strikes to the head. Marcos connected on 98 of 171 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 71 of 131 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Marcos ended up landing 101 of 177 while Castaneda landed 68 of 134 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Da'Mon Blackshear squares up against Alateng Heili. Blackshear holds a mark of 16-7-1. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter stretches 72". Heili stands in at 5'5" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 17-9-2. The 33-year-old stretches 66". Regarding grappling, Da'Mon Blackshear is averaging a takedown 1.89 times per 15 min while Alateng Heili gets a takedown 1.99 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Blackshear lands 3.93 strikes per min and is connecting on 46% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Alateng Heili, who tags the opposition on 32% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 2.64 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Cameron Saaiman is set to take on Malcolm Wellmaker. Wellmaker steps into the cage holding a mark of 8-0-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter stretches 71". Saaiman stands in at 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 9-2-0. The 24-year-old has a reach of 67". Regarding takedowns, Malcolm Wellmaker is able to defend against 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his attempts. Saaiman is taking his opponents to the mat on 28% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 47% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Wellmaker absorbs 7.65 strikes per minute while he connects on 8.05 strikes per minute. Saaiman, moreover, is absorbing 4.18 strikes/min and lands 5.32 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chris Gutierrez (-135)
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