Chris Gutierrez vs John Castaneda Pick, 03/08/2025 Predictions UFC 313 Odds

Chris Gutierrez vs John Castaneda

UFC 313

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 8, 2025

Chris Gutierrez will enter the Octagon with John Castaneda at UFC 313 on Saturday, March 8, 2025. The line has Gutierrez priced at -107 while Castaneda is priced at -115.

Chris "El Guapo" Gutierrez will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 21-6-2. The 33-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". John "Sexi Mexi" Castaneda stands 5'6" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 21-7-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Chris Gutierrez is connecting on 4.72 per min while John Castaneda lands 4.67 significant strikes per min. Gutierrez is landing 59% of the significant strikes he tries and Castaneda is landing 50%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "El Guapo" allows 2.64 significant strikes per minute while "Sexi Mexi" allows 5.22. Gutierrez also stops 64% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Castaneda prevents 54% of them.

When it comes to wrestling, Chris Gutierrez is the not as competent as a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.26 times per 3 rounds. Gutierrez is scoring a takedown on 30% of the times he tries and is stopping 71% of the takedowns his opponents try. Castaneda is scoring a takedown on 35% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 71% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Gutierrez is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes while Castaneda tries 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Chris Gutierrez fought Quang Le and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Le ended up landing 32 of 87 total strikes that he let go. Gutierrez finished this fight landing 69 of 88 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Le ended up landing 16 of 69, which gave him a percentage of 23%. He landed 6 of 55 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Gutierrez ended up landing 75% of his significant strikes by sticking 59 of 78. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 23 of 34 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Le and 98% of them connected on by Gutierrez were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for John Castaneda, he squared up with Daniel Marcos and was defeated via unanimous decision in round 3. Marcos ended up connecting on 82% of his significant strikes at distance while Castaneda connected on 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Castaneda landed 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 60 of 123. He ended up connecting on 26 of 75 significant strikes to the head. Marcos connected on 98 of 171 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 71 of 131 directed at the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Marcos was 101 of 177 while Castaneda ended up landing 68 of 134 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Djorden Santos battles Ozzy Diaz. Santos steps into the cage holding a mark of 10-1-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Diaz measures 6'4" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 9-3-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 79". Regarding grappling, Djorden Santos is averaging a takedown 1.00 times per 3 rds while Ozzy Diaz scores a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Santos lands an average of 5.67 strikes/min and landing 55% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Ozzy Diaz, who is connecting on 43% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 2.21 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Iasmin Lucindo is set to face off with Amanda Lemos. Lemos has a career mark of 14-4-1. The 37-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 65". Lucindo stands 5'3" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 17-5-0. The 23-year-old stretches 66". In terms of wrestling, Amanda Lemos stops 61% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 63% of her tries. Lucindo is finishing her takedown tries on 57% of her tries and is able to deflect 66% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Lemos absorbs 3.87 strikes/min while she is dealing 3.16 strikes/min. Lucindo, at the same time, absorbs 2.91 strikes per min and deals 3.52 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take John Castaneda (-115)

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