Carlos Vera vs Josias Musasa Pick, 03/15/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 104 Odds
Carlos Vera vs Josias Musasa
UFC Vegas 104
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 15, 2025
Carlos Vera will enter the Octagon against Josias Musasa at UFC Vegas 104 on Saturday, March 15, 2025. The line has Vera at +470 while Musasa is priced at -650.
Carlos "Pequeno" Vera walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-4-0. The 37-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Josias "The KO Wizard" Musasa comes in at 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 8-0-0. The 26-year-old has an arm span of 74". Concerning significant strikes, Carlos Vera is landing 0.80 per min and Josias Musasa is landing 3.33 significant strikes per minute. Vera lands 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Musasa is connecting on 44%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Pequeno" takes 2.53 significant strikes per minute and "The KO Wizard" takes 4.53. Vera also defends against 45% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Musasa is able to thwart 27% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 104 | Carlos Vera | Josias Musasa |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +470 | -650 |
| Record | 11-4-0 | 8-0-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 69" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 0.80 | 3.33 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 44% |
Concerning grappling, Carlos Vera is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.20 times per 3 rounds. Vera is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries and is stopping 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Musasa is taking his opponents to the canvas on 85% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to subbing opponents, Vera is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.8 finishes per 15 min while Musasa goes for 1.0 finish per 3 rds.
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In his last bout, Carlos Vera went up against Rinya Nakamura and walked away with a loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Nakamura landed 73 of 114 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Vera walked away from this fight having landed 55 of 79 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Nakamura landed 38 of 70, giving him a percentage of 54%. He ended up landing 30 of 61 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Vera ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes by connecting on 12 of 25. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 7 of 19 to the head. 18% of the significant strikes connected on by Nakamura and 50% of them connected on by Vera were done at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Josias Musasa, he faced off with Otari Tanzilovi and ended up getting the win by way of split decision in round 3. Tanzilovi ended up landing 57% of his significant strikes at distance while Musasa ended up connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Musasa landed 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 50 of 113. He ended up landing 28 of 83 significant strikes directed at the head. Tanzilovi connected on 68 of 94 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 36 of 59 to the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Tanzilovi ended up connecting on 85 of 114 while Musasa ended up landing 87 of 153 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts to watch out for
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Daniel Barez opposes Andre Lima. Barez will be looking to add a win to his career record of 17-6-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 66". Lima measures 5'7" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 10-0-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 67". In the grappling category, Daniel Barez scores a takedown 2.24 times per 3 rounds while Andre Lima is averaging a takedown 1.13 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Barez connects on 4.10 strikes/min and lands 52% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Andre Lima, who lands 55% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 3.03 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when MarQuel Mederos is set to enter the Octagon against Evan Elder. Elder walks into the cage holding a record of 9-2-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Mederos stands in at 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding wrestling, Evan Elder is able to defend against 33% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of the times he tries. Mederos is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his tries and stops 90% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Elder is absorbing 4.79 strikes per min while he deals 5.02 per min. Mederos, in contrast, is absorbing 3.29 strikes per minute and deals 4.39 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Carlos Vera (+470)
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