Bogdan Grad vs Lucas Alexander Pick, 02/01/2025 Predictions UFC Saudi Arabia Odds
Bogdan Grad vs Lucas Alexander
UFC Saudi Arabia
ANB Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Saturday, February 1, 2025
Bogdan Grad will enter the Octagon with Lucas Alexander at UFC Saudi Arabia on Saturday, February 1, 2025. The line has Grad at +100 while Alexander is coming in at -120.
Bogdan "The Unleashed" Grad holds a mark of 14-2-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Lucas "The Lion" Alexander measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 8-4-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In the category of significant strikes, Bogdan Grad connects on 6.35 per min while Lucas Alexander connects on 5.23 significant strikes per minute. Grad lands 47% of the significant strikes he tries while Alexander lands 55%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Unleashed" allows 10.25 significant strikes per min and "The Lion" allows 1.83. Grad also prevents 49% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Alexander stops 71% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC Saudi Arabia | Bogdan Grad | Lucas Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +100 | -120 |
| Record | 14-2-0 | 8-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 8:12 | 6:11 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'11" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 70" | 73" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.35 | 5.23 |
| Striking Accuracy | 47% | 55% |
Regarding takedowns, Bogdan Grad is the more capable wrestler as he gets a takedown 2.75 times per 15 min. Grad is getting his opponent to the mat on 42% of the times he tries and stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Alexander is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his takedown attempts and stopping 57% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submission attempts, Grad is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 min while Alexander tries 0.9 finishes per 3 rounds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Bogdan Grad faced Michael Aswell and ended up getting the win by way of split decision in round 3. Aswell ended up landing 184 of 338 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Grad walked away from this fight having landed 105 of 218 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Aswell ended up landing 155 of 307, giving him a percentage of 50%. He landed 128 of 267 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Grad ended up landing 47% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 102 of 215. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 60 of 149 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Aswell and 96% of them connected on by Grad were thrown at a distance.
In the last fight for Lucas Alexander, he battled Jeka Saragih and wound up walking away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 1. Saragih ended up connecting on 50% of his significant strikes at distance and Alexander connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Alexander connected on 68% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 11 of 16. He ended up connecting on 6 of 10 significant strikes to the head. Saragih landed 4 of 9 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 3 of 6 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Saragih ended up connecting on 4 of 9 and Alexander ended up connecting on 11 of 16 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Hamdy Abdelwahab enters the Octagon against Jamal Pogues. Abdelwahab will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 5-0-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is fighting at 264 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 72". Pogues measures 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 11-4-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 77". In terms of takedowns, Hamdy Abdelwahab is averaging a takedown 3.00 times per 3 rounds and Jamal Pogues takes his opponents to the canvas 2.40 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Abdelwahab connects on 3.87 strikes/minute and connects on 52% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Jamal Pogues, who lands 44% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 3.36 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Mayra Bueno Silva is set to face off with Jasmine Jasudavicius. Jasudavicius looks to add a victory to her career record of 12-3-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Bueno Silva measures in at 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 10-4-1 (1 NC). The 33-year-old reaches 66". Concerning wrestling, Jasmine Jasudavicius is preventing 75% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 43% of the times she tries. Bueno Silva is taking her opponents to the mat on 29% of the tries she takes and is able to curb 66% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Jasudavicius is absorbing 3.81 strikes per minute while she is landing 3.70 strikes/minute. Bueno Silva, in contrast, absorbs 5.00 strikes/minute and lands 4.01 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Lucas Alexander (-120)
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