Beneil Dariush vs Renato Moicano Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/15/2025

Beneil Dariush vs Renato Moicano

UFC 311

Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA

Saturday, January 18, 2025

Beneil Dariush will enter the Octagon with Renato Moicano at UFC 311 on Saturday, January 18, 2025. The opener has Dariush at +145 while Moicano is priced at -175.

Beneil Dariush walks into the Octagon with a mark of 22-6-1. The 35-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 72". Renato Moicano measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 20-5-1. The 35-year-old extends his reach 72". When talking about significant strikes, Beneil Dariush is landing 3.78 per minute and Renato Moicano is landing 4.42 significant strikes per minute. Dariush is landing 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Moicano is connecting on 49%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Dariush allows 2.65 significant strikes per minute while Moicano takes 3.60. Dariush also defends against 57% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Moicano is able to stop 60% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Beneil Dariush ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 311	Beneil Dariush	Renato Moicano
Opening Odds	+145	-175
Record	22-6-1	20-5-1
Average Fight Time	8:54	9:27
Height	5'10"	5'11"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	72"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.78	4.42
Striking Accuracy	48%	49%

Regarding wrestling, Beneil Dariush is the better wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.90 times per 3 rds. Dariush is taking his opponents to the canvas on 34% of the times he tries and stuffing 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Moicano is finishing his takedown tries on 44% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 72% of the tries against him. Regarding sub attempts, Dariush is the more skilled fighter by attempting 0.9 submissions per 15 minutes while Moicano attempts 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Beneil Dariush went up against Arman Tsarukyan and took a loss on the night by a punch to the head in round 1. Tsarukyan ended up landing 8 of 15 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Dariush walked away from this fight having landed 2 of 8 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Tsarukyan ended up landing 8 of 15, which gave him a rate of 53%. He ended up landing 8 of 15 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Dariush ended up landing 25% of his significant strikes by sticking 2 of 8. Out of those significant strikes, he was 0 of 5 pointed at the head. 50% of the significant strikes landed by Tsarukyan and 100% of them connected on by Dariush were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Renato Moicano, he faced off with Benoit Saint Denis and got a win for the night via TKO via a doctor's stoppage in round 2. Denis ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Moicano connected on 34% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Moicano ended up landing 69% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 50 of 72. He ended up landing 46 of 66 significant strikes directed at the head. Denis ended up connecting on 25 of 60 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 13 of 44 aimed at the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Denis landed 35 of 70 and Moicano ended up connecting on 72 of 98 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Kevin Holland takes on Reinier de Ridder. Holland walks into the Octagon holding a record of 26-12-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 81". de Ridder stands in at 6'4" and weighs 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 18-2-0. The 34-year-old reaches 78". Regarding grappling, Kevin Holland is averaging a takedown 0.83 times per 3 rds and Reinier de Ridder is averaging a takedown 6.39 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Holland lands an average of 4.24 strikes per min and lands 49% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Reinier de Ridder, who is connecting on 57% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 3.24 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Raoni Barcelos is set to face off with Payton Talbott. Talbott steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-0-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The switch fighter extends his reach 70". Barcelos measures in at 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 18-5-0. The 37-year-old has an arm span of 67". In terms of grappling, Payton Talbott thwarts 90% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his tries. Barcelos is taking his opponents down on 32% of the attempts he tries and deflects 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Talbott is taking 3.57 strikes/minute while he is dealing 8.38 strikes/minute. Barcelos, on the contrary, takes 4.79 strikes/min and is connecting on 5.22 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Renato Moicano (-175)

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Beneil Dariush vs Renato Moicano Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

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