Austen Lane vs Mario Pinto Pick, 03/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 103 Odds

Austen Lane vs Mario Pinto

UFC Vegas 103

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 1, 2025

Austen Lane will enter the Octagon against Mario Pinto at UFC Vegas 103 on Saturday, March 1, 2025. The opening line has Lane coming in at +350 while Pinto is priced at -455.

Austen Lane will be looking to add a win to his career record of 13-5-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old will fight at 245 lbs and stands in at 6'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 80". Mario Pinto measures in at 6'5" and weighs 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 9-0-0. The 26-year-old stretches 79". When talking about significant strikes, Austen Lane is connecting on 2.47 per min while Mario Pinto connects on 8.16 significant strikes per minute. Lane lands 50% of the significant strikes he tries while Pinto connects on 93%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Lane allows 2.44 significant strikes per minute while Pinto takes 4.08. Lane also curbs 40% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Pinto is able to defend against 61% of the strikes thrown his way.

In terms of grappling, Austen Lane is the more capable wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.03 times per 3 rounds. Lane is scoring a takedown on 30% of his tries and is stopping 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Pinto is scoring a takedown on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing the opposition, Lane is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 finishes per 3 rounds while Pinto attempts 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Austen Lane fought Robelis Despaigne and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Despaigne ended up landing 48 of 68 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Lane finished this fight landing 78 of 110 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Despaigne landed 31 of 46, giving him a percentage of 67%. He landed 23 of 38 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Lane landed 60% of his significant strikes by connecting on 23 of 38. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 7 of 20 to the head. 67% of the significant strikes landed by Despaigne and 73% of them connected on by Lane were done at distance.

In the last bout for Mario Pinto, he went up against Lucas Camacho and got a win for the night by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Camacho landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Pinto ended up landing 78% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Pinto landed 93% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 14 of 15. He ended up landing 10 of 11 significant strikes to the head. Camacho ended up connecting on 7 of 18 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 10 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Camacho was 7 of 18 while Pinto was 14 of 15 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Hyder Amil takes on William Gomis. Amil steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-0-0. The 34-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The switch fighter reaches 70". Gomis stands 6'0" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 14-2-0. The 27-year-old reaches 73". In the grappling category, Hyder Amil scores a takedown 0.64 times per 3 rds and William Gomis is averaging a takedown 0.78 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Amil connects on 6.31 strikes/minute and connecting on 57% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is William Gomis, who is landing 50% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 2.69 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Sam Patterson is set to face off against Danny Barlow. Barlow will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 9-0-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures 6'2". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 79". Patterson stands in at 6'3" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 12-2-1. The 28-year-old stretches 78". When it comes to takedowns, Danny Barlow is preventing 85% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his attempts. Patterson is taking his opponents down on 85% of his attempts and curbs 33% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Barlow is taking 3.48 strikes/minute while he is dealing 5.72 strikes per min. Patterson, on the other side, absorbs 3.37 strikes/min and lands 2.66 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mario Pinto (-455)

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