Andrea Lee vs JJ Aldrich Pick, 03/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 103 Odds

Andrea Lee vs JJ Aldrich

UFC Vegas 103

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 1, 2025

Andrea Lee will enter the Octagon with JJ Aldrich at UFC Vegas 103 on Saturday, March 1, 2025. The opening line has Lee at +170 while Aldrich is priced at -205.

Andrea "KGB" Lee will be looking to add a win to her career record of 13-10-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". JJ Aldrich stands in at 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to her career record of 13-7-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 67". Concerning significant strikes, Andrea Lee lands 4.71 per min while JJ Aldrich connects on 3.88 significant strikes per minute. Lee is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes she tries while Aldrich lands 46%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "KGB" absorbs 3.83 significant strikes per min while Aldrich takes 4.38. Lee also stops 62% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Aldrich is able to thwart 60% of the shots thrown.

When it comes to wrestling, Andrea Lee is the more competent wrestler as she takes her opponents to the mat 1.70 times per 15 minutes. Lee is scoring a takedown on 55% of her tries and is stopping 54% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Aldrich is taking her opponents to the canvas on 23% of her takedown tries and is defending 66% of all takedowns attempted on her. In terms of going for the sub, Lee is the more apt fighter by going for 0.6 subs per 15 minutes while Aldrich tries 0.4 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Andrea Lee fought Montana De La Rosa and walked away with a loss via split decision in round 3. Rosa ended up landing 88 of 206 total strikes that she let go in that contest. Lee finished this fight landing 115 of 201 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Rosa ended up landing 70 of 180, giving her a percentage of 38%. She landed 53 of 156 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Lee landed 49% of her significant strikes by landing 75 of 152. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 37 of 109 aimed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Rosa and 77% of them landed by Lee were done at distance.

In the last fight for JJ Aldrich, she faced off with Veronica Hardy and wound up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Hardy landed 83% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance and Aldrich ended up landing 55% of her significant strikes at distance. Aldrich landed 42% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 27 of 63. She connected on 19 of 51 significant strikes directed at the head. Hardy landed 36 of 78 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 22 of 60 to the head. Regarding total strikes that she threw in that fight, Hardy landed 69 of 113 while Aldrich landed 38 of 76 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Montana De La Rosa opposes Luana Carolina. De La Rosa comes into this bout with a mark of 13-9-1. The 30-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Carolina measures in at 5'6" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her record of 11-4-0. The 31-year-old stretches 69". Regarding grappling, Montana De La Rosa is able to score a takedown 1.85 times per 3 rounds and Luana Carolina takes her opponents to the mat 0.34 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, De La Rosa lands an average of 2.90 strikes/min and is landing 37% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Luana Carolina, who is landing 50% of the strikes she attempts and is landing 4.81 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Asu Almabayev is set to go up against Manel Kape. Kape will be looking to add a victory to his total of 20-7-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The southpaw fighter stretches 68". Almabayev stands 5'4" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 21-2-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 65". Concerning grappling, Manel Kape is able to curb 77% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 33% of his attempts. Almabayev is taking his opponents down on 50% of the tries he takes and defends against 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Kape is taking 4.15 strikes/minute while he connects on 5.05 strikes per minute. Almabayev, notwithstanding, takes 1.02 strikes per minute and is dishing out 2.11 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Andrea Lee (+170)

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