Andre Fili vs Melquizael Costa Pick, 02/22/2025 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds
Andre Fili vs Melquizael Costa
UFC Seattle
Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle
Saturday, February 22, 2025
Andre Fili will enter the Octagon with Melquizael Costa at UFC Seattle on Saturday, February 22, 2025. The opening line has Fili priced at -110 while Costa is coming in at -110.
Andre "Touchy" Fili steps into the cage holding a record of 24-11-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Melquizael "Melk Cauthy" Costa measures in at 5'10" and will fight at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 21-7-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 71". Regarding significant strikes, Andre Fili is landing 3.88 per min while Melquizael Costa lands 3.46 significant strikes per minute. Fili connects on 37% of the significant strikes he throws while Costa connects on 46%. In terms of defending themselves, "Touchy" absorbs 4.11 significant strikes per min and "Melk Cauthy" absorbs 2.29. Fili also defends 51% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Costa prevents 58% of the shots thrown his way.
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UFC Seattle | Andre Fili | Melquizael Costa |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | -110 | -110 |
Record | 24-11-0 (1 NC) | 21-7-0 |
Average Fight Time | 10:37 | 10:29 |
Height | 5'11" | 5'10" |
Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
Reach | 74" | 71" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.88 | 3.46 |
Striking Accuracy | 37% | 46% |
In terms of takedowns, Andre Fili is not as efficient of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 2.15 times per 15 minutes. Fili is scoring a takedown on 43% of his attempts and is stopping 70% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Costa is finishing his takedowns on 35% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 52% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing opponents, Fili is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Costa attempts 1.1 submissions per 15 min.
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In his previous bout, Andre Fili went up against Cub Swanson and wound up getting the win by split decision in round 3. Swanson landed 90 of 140 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Fili walked away from this fight having landed 70 of 151 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Swanson landed 62 of 111, which gave him a percentage of 55%. He ended up landing 43 of 86 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Fili ended up landing 45% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 67 of 147. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 49 of 118 pointed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes connected on by Swanson and 77% of them connected on by Fili were done at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Melquizael Costa, he fought Shayilan Nuerdanbieke and wound up taking home the win via rear naked choke in round 3. Nuerdanbieke landed 66% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Costa landed 50% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Costa connected on 45% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 16 of 35. He landed 8 of 20 significant strikes aimed at the head. Nuerdanbieke connected on 6 of 8 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he landed 4 of 6 to the head. In regard to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Nuerdanbieke was 20 of 28 and Costa connected on 76 of 106 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights on the card to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ion Cutelaba enters the Octagon with Ibo Aslan. Cutelaba will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-10-1 (1 NC). The 31-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Aslan stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 14-1-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In the grappling category, Ion Cutelaba takes his opponents to the canvas 4.04 times per 3 rounds while Ibo Aslan is averaging a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Cutelaba connects on 4.29 strikes/minute and connecting on 43% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Ibo Aslan, who tags his opponent on 50% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 8.34 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Billy Ray Goff is set to encounter Adam Fugitt. Fugitt looks to add a victory to his career record of 10-4-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 77". Ray Goff stands in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 9-3-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 72". Regarding takedowns, Adam Fugitt defends against 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 29% of the times he tries. Ray Goff is finishing his takedowns on 17% of the tries he takes and thwarts 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Fugitt takes 4.48 strikes per min and he is dishing out 4.72 strikes/minute. Ray Goff, on the contrary, takes 5.71 strikes per min and dishes out 8.56 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Melquizael Costa (-110)
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