Alex Pereira vs Magomed Ankalaev Pick, 03/08/2025 Predictions UFC 313 Odds

Alex Pereira vs Magomed Ankalaev

UFC 313

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 8, 2025

Alex Pereira will face off against Magomed Ankalaev at UFC 313 on Saturday, March 8, 2025. The opener has Pereira at -112 while Ankalaev is at -108.

Alex "Poatan" Pereira looks to add a victory to his career total of 12-2-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 79". Magomed Ankalaev stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 20-1-1 (1 NC). The 32-year-old extends his reach 75". In the category of significant strikes, Alex Pereira is connecting on 5.46 per minute and Magomed Ankalaev lands 3.64 significant strikes per minute. Pereira is connecting on 63% of the significant strikes he attempts while Ankalaev connects on 52%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Poatan" takes 3.44 significant strikes per min while Ankalaev absorbs 2.37. Pereira also stops 55% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Ankalaev curbs 58% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In the wrestling category, Alex Pereira is not as effective of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.14 times per 15 min. Pereira is taking his opponents to the canvas on 85% of his attempts and is stopping 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Ankalaev is taking his opponents down on 31% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 86% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Pereira is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Ankalaev tries 0.8 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Alex Pereira faced Khalil Rountree Jr. and wound up taking home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 4. Jr. landed 62 of 193 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Pereira walked away from this fight having landed 129 of 211 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Jr. landed 61 of 191, which gave him a percentage of 31%. He finished the fight landing 34 of 155 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Pereira landed 60% of his significant strikes by landing 127 of 209. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 92 of 167 to the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Jr. and 96% of them connected on by Pereira were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Magomed Ankalaev, he went up against Aleksandar Rakic and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Rakic ended up landing 94% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Ankalaev connected on 90% of his significant strikes at distance. Ankalaev ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 55 of 114. He ended up connecting on 20 of 72 significant strikes aimed at the head. Rakic landed 53 of 117 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 10 of 65 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that fight, Rakic ended up landing 59 of 123 and Ankalaev landed 75 of 142 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Justin Gaethje opposes Rafael Fiziev. Gaethje steps into the Octagon with a record of 25-5-0. The 36-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Fiziev comes in at 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-3-0. The 31-year-old reaches 71". In the grappling category, Justin Gaethje scores a takedown 0.11 times per 3 rounds and Rafael Fiziev gets a takedown 0.29 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Gaethje connects on 6.78 strikes/minute and landing 59% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Rafael Fiziev, who lands 51% of the strikes he has tried and lands 4.90 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Ignacio Bahamondes is set to enter the Octagon against Jalin Turner. Turner steps into the Octagon holding a record of 14-8-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 77". Bahamondes measures in at 6'3" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 16-5-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding takedowns, Jalin Turner curbs 74% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 55% of his tries. Bahamondes is taking his opponents down on 15% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Turner is absorbing 4.57 strikes per min and he deals 5.60 strikes/min. Bahamondes, in contrast, absorbs 4.41 strikes/minute and is dealing 7.17 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alex Pereira (-112)

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