Alex Morono vs Carlos Leal Pick, 03/08/2025 Predictions UFC 313 Odds

Alex Morono vs Carlos Leal

UFC 313

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 8, 2025

Alex Morono will take on Carlos Leal at UFC 313 on Saturday, March 8, 2025. The moneyline has Morono priced at +575 while Leal is coming in at -850.

Alex "The Great White" Morono steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 24-11-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Carlos "The Lion" Leal stands in at 5'11" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 21-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 74". Concerning significant strikes, Alex Morono connects on 4.96 per minute and Carlos Leal is connecting on 7.13 significant strikes per min. Morono lands 40% of the significant strikes he throws and Leal lands 43%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Great White" allows 4.56 significant strikes per min and "The Lion" takes 7.27. Morono also stops 57% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Leal defends against 50% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding wrestling, Alex Morono is the not as competent as a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.34 times per 15 minutes. Morono is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of the times he tries and stopping 47% of all takedown attempts. Leal is finishing his takedown tries on 25% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 89% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Morono is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.3 submissions per 15 min while Leal looks to get 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Alex Morono squared up with Daniel Rodriguez and ended up walking away in defeat via split decision in round 3. Rodriguez landed 126 of 260 total strikes that he let go. Morono walked away from this fight having landed 91 of 276 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Rodriguez landed 123 of 257, which gave him a rate of 47%. He landed 44 of 153 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Morono ended up landing 28% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 74 of 257. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 58 of 228 to the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Rodriguez and 100% of them connected on by Morono were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Carlos Leal, he faced off with Rinat Fakhretdinov and wound up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Fakhretdinov ended up landing 88% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Leal ended up connecting on 87% of his significant strikes at distance. Leal landed 43% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 107 of 246. He connected on 72 of 207 significant strikes aimed at the head. Fakhretdinov landed 109 of 222 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 82 of 184 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Fakhretdinov ended up landing 119 of 236 and Leal ended up connecting on 146 of 292 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Mairon Santos squares up in the Octagon against Francis Marshall. Santos walks into the cage holding a mark of 15-1-0. The 24-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Marshall measures in at 5'9" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 8-2-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 72". In the grappling category, Mairon Santos gets a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds while Francis Marshall takes his opponents to the mat 2.68 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Santos is connecting on 4.77 strikes/min and connecting on 46% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Francis Marshall, who is landing 34% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.69 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when John Castaneda is set to square up in the Octagon against Chris Gutierrez. Gutierrez will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 21-6-2. The 33-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". Castaneda stands 5'6" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 21-7-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of grappling, Chris Gutierrez defends against 71% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents down on 30% of his tries. Castaneda is taking his opponents down on 35% of his tries and is able to deflect 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Gutierrez takes 2.64 strikes/minute and he lands 4.72 per min. Castaneda, on the other side, absorbs 5.22 strikes per min and lands 4.67 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Carlos Leal (-850)

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