Zac Pauga vs Bogdan Guskov Pick, 2/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 86 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/5/2024

Zac Pauga vs Bogdan Guskov

UFC Vegas 86

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, February 10, 2024

Zac Pauga will enter the Octagon against Bogdan Guskov at UFC Vegas 86 on Saturday, February 10, 2024. The opening line has Pauga at -135 while Guskov is priced at +114.

Zac "The High Chief" Pauga looks to add a win to his career total of 7-2-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Bogdan "Czarevitch" Guskov comes in at 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 14-3-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 76". In terms of significant strikes, Zac Pauga lands 4.44 per min and Bogdan Guskov is landing 2.12 significant strikes per min. Pauga is connecting on 62% of the significant strikes he throws while Guskov is connecting on 32%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The High Chief" takes 2.72 significant strikes per min and "Czarevitch" absorbs 6.90. Pauga also prevents 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Guskov is able to stop 43% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Zac Pauga predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 86	Zac Pauga	Bogdan Guskov
Opening Odds	-135	+114
Record	7-2-0	14-3-0
Average Fight Time	11:52	3:46
Height	6'2"	6'3"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	76"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.44	2.12
Striking Accuracy	62%	32%

Concerning grappling, Zac Pauga is not as effective of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.42 times per 3 rds. Pauga is finishing his takedown attempts on 9% of his tries and stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Guskov is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 15% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Pauga is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 1.4 finishes per 15 minutes while Guskov attempts 0.9 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Zac Pauga squared up with Modestas Bukauskas and was on the losing end of this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Bukauskas ended up landing 62 of 120 total strikes that he let go. Pauga walked away from this fight having landed 72 of 123 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Bukauskas landed 56 of 112, which means his percentage was 50%. He finished the fight landing 42 of 96 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Pauga landed 57% of his significant strikes by connecting on 67 of 117. Of those significant strikes, he was 35 of 80 aimed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes connected on by Bukauskas and 86% of them landed by Pauga were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Bogdan Guskov, he squared up with Volkan Oezdemir and ended up losing the fight by rear naked choke in round 1. Oezdemir ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Guskov ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Guskov ended up landing 32% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 8 of 25. He ended up connecting on 7 of 23 significant strikes to the head. Oezdemir ended up connecting on 26 of 46 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 19 of 37 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Oezdemir ended up landing 36 of 64 while Guskov connected on 10 of 27 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Melsik Baghdasaryan takes on Hyder Amil. Baghdasaryan has a record of 8-2-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Amil measures 5'9" and weighs 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his total of 8-0-0. The 33-year-old reaches 70". Regarding grappling, Melsik Baghdasaryan takes his opponents to the mat 0.30 times per 15 min and Hyder Amil takes his opponents down 0.60 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Baghdasaryan lands an average of 5.28 strikes/minute and landing 61% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Hyder Amil, who is landing 52% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 1.73 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Aori Qileng is set to face off with Daniel Marcos. Marcos looks to add a win to his total of 15-0-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Qileng comes in at 5'7" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 25-10-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 69". Regarding wrestling, Daniel Marcos prevents 89% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of his tries. Qileng is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 58% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Marcos is absorbing 3.70 strikes/minute and he is landing 4.88 per min. Qileng, on the other side, is absorbing 5.56 strikes per minute and is dealing 5.31 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Bogdan Guskov (+114)

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Zac Pauga vs Bogdan Guskov Pick, 2/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 86 Odds

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