Youssef Zalal vs Jarno Errens Pick, 8/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 95 Odds

Youssef Zalal vs Jarno Errens

UFC Vegas 95

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, August 10, 2024

Youssef Zalal will face off with Jarno Errens at UFC Vegas 95 on Saturday, August 10, 2024. The opening odds have Zalal priced at -410 while Errens is at +320.

Jhonata Diniz steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-5-1. The 27-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures 5'10". The switch fighter has a reach of 72". Karl Williams comes in at 5'11" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 14-5-1. The 29-year-old extends his reach 73". When talking about significant strikes, Youssef Zalal is connecting on 2.88 per minute while Jarno Errens connects on 3.44 significant strikes per min. Zalal connects on 49% of the significant strikes he throws while Errens lands 46%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Moroccan Devil" takes 1.73 significant strikes per minute and Errens allows 3.36. Zalal also prevents 65% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Errens is able to curb 63% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

When it comes to grappling, Youssef Zalal is the more apt wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 2.28 times per 15 minutes. Zalal is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of his tries and is defending 60% of all takedown tries against him. Errens is scoring a takedown on 15% of his takedown attempts and stopping 28% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Zalal is the more capable fighter by trying 1.3 subs per 15 min while Errens tries 0.3 subs per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Youssef Zalal squared up with Billy Quarantillo and wound up getting the victory by rear naked choke in round 2. Quarantillo landed 26 of 74 total strikes attempted in that fight. Zalal ended the night having landed 37 of 62 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Quarantillo landed 10 of 50, which gave him a rate of 20%. He landed 8 of 36 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Zalal landed 58% of his significant strikes by sticking 33 of 56. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 18 of 36 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Quarantillo and 84% of them connected on by Zalal were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Jarno Errens, he fought Steven Nguyen and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Nguyen landed 93% of his significant strikes at distance while Errens connected on 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Errens ended up landing 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 105 of 207. He ended up landing 51 of 139 significant strikes to the head. Nguyen ended up landing 63 of 226 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 47 of 187 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Nguyen landed 63 of 227 and Errens was 106 of 208 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Yana Santos faces off against Chelsea Chandler. Santos comes into this bout with a mark of 14-8-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Chandler measures in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to her career record of 6-2-0. The 33-year-old reaches 68". When it comes to grappling, Yana Santos gets a takedown 1.11 times per 15 minutes and Chelsea Chandler takes her opponents to the canvas 1.31 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Santos connects for an average of 4.16 strikes/minute and landing 56% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Chelsea Chandler, who lands 45% of the strikes she has attempted and lands an average of 3.45 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Talita Alencar is set to face off against Stephanie Luciano. Luciano comes into this bout with a record of 5-1-1. The 24-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Alencar comes in at 5'1" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 5-0-1. The 33-year-old extends her reach 58". Regarding takedowns, Stephanie Luciano is preventing 83% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 85% of her tries. Alencar is taking her opponents to the mat on 15% of her tries and deflects 50% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Luciano takes 2.33 strikes/minute while she is dealing 5.80 strikes per min. Alencar, on the contrary, absorbs 4.80 strikes/minute and lands 2.37 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Youssef Zalal (-410)

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