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Yi Zha vs Gabriel Santos Pick, 9/7/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 97 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/4/2024

Yi Zha vs Gabriel Santos

UFC Vegas 97

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, September 7, 2024

Yi Zha will take on Gabriel Santos at UFC Vegas 97 on Saturday, September 7, 2024. The line has Zha at +200 while Santos is at -250.

Yi Zha walks into the Octagon with a mark of 25-4-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Gabriel "Mosquitinho" Santos stands in at 5'9" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 70". In the category of significant strikes, Yi Zha lands 2.82 per min while Gabriel Santos is connecting on 4.46 significant strikes per min. Zha is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he tries while Santos is landing 55%. When it comes to defending themselves, Zha absorbs 2.20 significant strikes per min while "Mosquitinho" absorbs 6.03. Zha also stops 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Santos is able to curb 44% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Gabriel Santos ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 97 Yi Zha Gabriel Santos
Opening Odds +200 -250
Record 25-4-0 10-2-0
Average Fight Time 8:48 12:07
Height 5'7" 5'9"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 71" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.82 4.46
Striking Accuracy 44% 55%

In terms of wrestling, Yi Zha is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 4.55 times per 15 min. Zha is finishing his takedown attempts on 32% of the times he tries and is stuffing 59% of all takedowns attempted on him. Santos is finishing his takedown attempts on 46% of his takedown tries and thwarting 66% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Zha is the more able fighter by attempting 1.4 subs per 3 rounds while Santos looks to get 1.2 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Yi Zha fought Kaiwen and took home the win by way of an armbar on the ground in round 1. Kaiwen ended up landing 13 of 37 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Zha walked away from this fight having landed 16 of 22 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Kaiwen ended up landing 9 of 32, which means his percentage was 28%. He finished the fight landing 4 of 24 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Zha ended up landing 68% of his significant strikes by sticking 13 of 19. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 7 of 12 pointed at the head. 66% of the significant strikes landed by Kaiwen and 92% of them connected on by Zha were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Gabriel Santos, he squared up with David Onama and walked away with a loss by a punch to the head in round 2. Onama connected on 79% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Santos ended up connecting on 92% of his significant strikes at distance. Santos connected on 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 39 of 73. He ended up connecting on 22 of 46 significant strikes to the head. Onama ended up landing 53 of 104 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 47 of 95 to the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Onama ended up landing 59 of 118 and Santos was 56 of 90 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Andre Petroski squares up in the Octagon against Dylan Budka. Petroski steps into the Octagon with a record of 11-4-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures 6'0". The switch fighter extends his reach 73". Budka comes in at 6'0" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a record of 7-3-0. The 24-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding grappling, Andre Petroski scores a takedown 4.07 times per 3 rds and Dylan Budka gets a takedown 3.38 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Petroski lands an average of 3.00 strikes per min and is landing 50% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Dylan Budka, who tags his opponent on 60% of his attempted strikes and connects on 1.04 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Natalia Silva is set to enter the Octagon with Jessica Andrade. Andrade comes into this fight with a record of 26-12-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 62". Silva stands in at 5'4" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 17-5-1. The 27-year-old reaches 65". Concerning grappling, Jessica Andrade thwarts 72% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 55% of her tries. Silva is taking her opponents to the mat on 28% of the tries she takes and is able to defend against 91% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Andrade takes 5.37 strikes/minute while she is landing 6.62 per min. Silva, at the same time, is absorbing 2.10 strikes per minute and dishes out 4.53 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Yi Zha (+200)

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