Yazmin Jauregui vs Ketlen Souza Pick, 9/14/2024 Predictions UFC 306 Odds

Yazmin Jauregui vs Ketlen Souza

UFC 306

The Sphere in Las Vegas

Saturday, September 14, 2024

Yazmin Jauregui will enter the Octagon against Ketlen Souza at UFC 306 on Saturday, September 14, 2024. The moneyline has Jauregui coming in at -500 while Souza is at +380.

Yazmin Jauregui holds a career record of 11-1-0. The 25-year-old is weighing in at 115 lbs and measures 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 64". Ketlen "Esquentadinha" Souza measures 5'3" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 14-4-0. The 30-year-old stretches 63". When talking about significant strikes, Yazmin Jauregui is connecting on 6.26 per min while Ketlen Souza lands 4.78 significant strikes per min. Jauregui lands 38% of the significant strikes she attempts while Souza lands 68%. In terms of defending in the cage, Jauregui takes 5.12 significant strikes per minute while "Esquentadinha" allows 2.03. Jauregui also stops 55% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Souza defends against 60% of the shots thrown in her direction.

In terms of wrestling, Yazmin Jauregui is not as efficient of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 15 min. Jauregui is finishing her takedown attempts on 15% of her tries and thwarting 85% of the takedowns her opponents try. Souza is taking her opponents to the canvas on 50% of her takedown tries and stuffing 50% of all takedowns attempted on her. When it comes to sub attempts, Jauregui is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.3 subs per 15 min while Souza tries 0.7 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Yazmin Jauregui faced Sam Hughes and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Hughes ended up landing 88 of 206 total strikes that she let go. Jauregui ended the night having landed 97 of 272 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Hughes ended up landing 83 of 197, giving her a percentage of 42%. She finished the fight landing 40 of 143 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Jauregui ended up landing 34% of her significant strikes by sticking 94 of 269. Of those significant strikes, she landed 52 of 197 pointed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by Hughes and 89% of them connected on by Jauregui were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Ketlen Souza, she fought Marnic Mann and ended up winning this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Mann connected on 90% of her significant strikes at distance and Souza ended up connecting on 88% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Souza landed 68% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 80 of 116. She landed 38 of 69 significant strikes directed at the head. Mann landed 31 of 77 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she ended up connecting on 8 of 39 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Mann ended up landing 111 of 159 and Souza ended up connecting on 93 of 132 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Sean O'Malley faces off with Merab Dvalishvili. O'Malley steps into the Octagon with a mark of 18-1-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter extends his reach 72". Dvalishvili measures 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 17-4-0. The 33-year-old reaches 68". In terms of takedowns, Sean O'Malley takes his opponents to the mat 0.35 times per 3 rds and Merab Dvalishvili is averaging a takedown 6.43 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, O'Malley connects for an average of 7.63 strikes/minute and is landing 61% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Merab Dvalishvili, who lands 41% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 4.50 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Diego Lopes is set to battle Brian Ortega. Ortega holds a record of 16-3-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The switch fighter stretches 69". Lopes measures 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 25-6-0. The 29-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to takedowns, Brian Ortega is thwarting 57% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is scoring a takedown on 27% of his attempts. Lopes is finishing his takedowns on 25% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 46% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Ortega takes 6.54 strikes per min and he deals 4.07 strikes/minute. Lopes, on the other hand, absorbs 4.08 strikes/minute and connects on 3.24 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Yazmin Jauregui (-500)

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