Yair Rodriguez vs Brian Ortega Pick, 2/24/2024 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/19/2024

Yair Rodriguez vs Brian Ortega

UFC Mexico City

Mexico City Arena

Saturday, February 24, 2024

Yair Rodriguez will face off with Brian Ortega at UFC Mexico City on Saturday, February 24, 2024. The opening moneyline has Rodriguez coming in at -180 while Ortega is at +150.

Yair "El Pantera" Rodriguez will be looking to add a victory to his total of 16-4-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Brian "T-City" Ortega stands 5'8" and will fight at 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 15-3-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has an arm span of 69". Regarding significant strikes, Yair Rodriguez connects on 4.63 per min and Brian Ortega connects on 4.19 significant strikes per minute. Rodriguez connects on 46% of the significant strikes he tries and Ortega connects on 38%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "El Pantera" allows 4.07 significant strikes per minute and "T-City" takes 6.66. Rodriguez also deflects 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Ortega is able to thwart 49% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Yair Rodriguez ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico City	Yair Rodriguez	Brian Ortega
Opening Odds	-180	+150
Record	16-4-0 (1 NC)	15-3-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	13:16	12:57
Height	5'11"	5'8"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	71"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.63	4.19
Striking Accuracy	46%	38%

When it comes to wrestling, Yair Rodriguez is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.73 times per 3 rounds. Rodriguez is getting his opponent to the mat on 28% of the times he tries and is stopping 59% of all takedowns attempted on him. Ortega is finishing his takedowns on 23% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 56% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing opponents, Rodriguez is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.7 subs per 3 rounds while Ortega goes for 1.2 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Yair Rodriguez fought Alexander Volkanovski and wound up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Volkanovski ended up landing 149 of 198 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Rodriguez finished this fight landing 57 of 103 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Volkanovski ended up landing 66 of 97, giving him a percentage of 68%. He finished the fight landing 48 of 69 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Rodriguez landed 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 40 of 80. Of those significant strikes, he was 13 of 49 to the head. 37% of the significant strikes connected on by Volkanovski and 95% of them connected on by Rodriguez were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Brian Ortega, he fought Yair Rodriguez and wound up walking away in defeat by way of a shoulder injury in round 1. Rodriguez ended up landing 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Ortega ended up connecting on 68% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Ortega connected on 62% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 22 of 35. He landed 18 of 30 significant strikes directed at the head. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 23 of 46 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 18 of 41 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Rodriguez connected on 48 of 76 and Ortega ended up landing 26 of 39 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Daniel Zellhuber squares up with Francisco Prado. Zellhuber steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-1-0. The 24-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures 6'1". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 77". Prado measures in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 12-1-0. The 21-year-old has an arm span of 69". When it comes to grappling, Daniel Zellhuber gets a takedown 0.28 times per 3 rds and Francisco Prado takes his opponents down 0.00 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Zellhuber is landing 5.26 strikes/min and connects on 39% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Francisco Prado, who connects on 50% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.46 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Ricky Turcios is set to fight Raul Rosas Jr.. Rosas Jr. walks into the cage with a record of 8-1-0. The 19-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 67". Turcios measures 5'9" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 13-3-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of grappling, Raul Rosas Jr. is stopping 0% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his tries. Turcios is taking his opponents down on 25% of the tries he takes and thwarts 45% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Rosas Jr. is taking 1.52 strikes per min while he is dealing 1.28 strikes/min. Turcios, on the other hand, is absorbing 3.70 strikes/min and deals 5.08 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Brian Ortega (+150)

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Yair Rodriguez vs Brian Ortega Pick, 2/24/2024 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

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