Xiao Long vs ChangHo Lee Pick, 6/22/2024 Predictions UFC Saudi Arabia Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/18/2024

Xiao Long vs ChangHo Lee

UFC Saudi Arabia

Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, June 22, 2024

Xiao Long will enter the Octagon with ChangHo Lee at UFC Saudi Arabia on Saturday, June 22, 2024. The opening line has Long coming in at -120 while Lee is priced at +100.

Xiao Long walks into the Octagon with a mark of 26-7-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". ChangHo Lee measures in at 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 9-1-0. The 30-year-old stretches 69". With respect to significant strikes, Xiao Long is connecting on 5.13 per min while ChangHo Lee connects on 4.30 significant strikes per min. Long is landing 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Lee connects on 69%. When it comes to defending themselves, Long takes 3.49 significant strikes per min while Lee absorbs 1.03. Long also curbs 54% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Lee is able to defend against 47% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Xiao Long predictions best bet odds

UFC Saudi Arabia	Xiao Long	ChangHo Lee
Opening Odds	-120	+100
Record	26-7-0	9-1-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	8:44
Height	5'8"	5'8"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	70"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.13	4.30
Striking Accuracy	49%	69%

Regarding wrestling, Xiao Long is the lesser skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.67 times per 3 rds. Long is getting his opponent to the mat on 25% of his attempts and stuffing 78% of all takedown tries against him. Lee is taking his opponents down on 35% of his takedown tries and is stopping 25% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Long is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.6 submissions per 3 rds while Lee attempts 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Xiao Long squared up with Shuya Kamikubo and wound up getting the win by majority decision in round 3. Kamikubo landed 87 of 147 total strikes attempted in that fight. Long walked away from this fight having landed 144 of 221 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Kamikubo landed 57 of 103, giving him a percentage of 55%. He landed 27 of 66 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Long landed 60% of his significant strikes by connecting on 109 of 181. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 86 of 151 to the head. 49% of the significant strikes landed by Kamikubo and 61% of them landed by Long were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for ChangHo Lee, he went up against Daermisi Zhawupasi and wound up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Zhawupasi ended up connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Lee ended up landing 30% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Lee ended up landing 66% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 40 of 60. He ended up landing 22 of 35 significant strikes directed at the head. Zhawupasi ended up landing 18 of 34 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 14 of 30 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Zhawupasi was 34 of 56 and Lee was 126 of 156 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Robert Whittaker goes up against Ikram Aliskerov. Whittaker will be looking to add a win to his career record of 26-7-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Aliskerov measures 6'0" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 15-1-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 76". When it comes to wrestling, Robert Whittaker gets a takedown 0.81 times per 15 min and Ikram Aliskerov is able to score a takedown 2.33 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Whittaker connects for an average of 4.57 strikes/min and connects on 42% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Ikram Aliskerov, who is connecting on 65% of his attempted strikes and is landing 8.24 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Alexander Volkov is set to square up in the Octagon with Sergei Pavlovich. Pavlovich looks to add a win to his career record of 18-2-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 257 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 84". Volkov stands in at 6'7" and will fight at 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 37-10-0. The 35-year-old extends his reach 80". In terms of grappling, Sergei Pavlovich is able to curb 75% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his tries. Volkov is taking his opponents to the mat on 63% of the tries he takes and prevents 73% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Pavlovich absorbs 4.61 strikes/min while he is landing 8.21 strikes per min. Volkov, moreover, absorbs 3.00 strikes per min and is dealing 5.10 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Xiao Long (-120)

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Xiao Long vs ChangHo Lee Pick, 6/22/2024 Predictions UFC Saudi Arabia Odds

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