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Vicente Luque vs Joaquin Buckley Pick, 3/30/2024 Predictions UFC Atlantic City Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/25/2024

Vicente Luque vs Joaquin Buckley

UFC Atlantic City

Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City

Saturday, March 30, 2024

Vicente Luque will face off with Joaquin Buckley at UFC Atlantic City on Saturday, March 30, 2024. The line has Luque coming in at -118 while Buckley is at -102.

Vicente "The Silent Assassin" Luque steps into the cage holding a record of 22-9-1. The 32-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Joaquin "New Mansa" Buckley measures 5'10" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 17-6-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 76". When talking about significant strikes, Vicente Luque is connecting on 5.17 per min and Joaquin Buckley connects on 3.87 significant strikes per minute. Luque is connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he tries while Buckley is landing 33%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Silent Assassin" takes 5.15 significant strikes per min and "New Mansa" allows 3.31. Luque also deflects 52% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Buckley is able to stop 57% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Vicente Luque ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Atlantic City Vicente Luque Joaquin Buckley
Opening Odds -118 -102
Record 22-9-1 17-6-0
Average Fight Time 10:07 9:58
Height 5'11" 5'10"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 75" 76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.17 3.87
Striking Accuracy 52% 33%

 

When it comes to grappling, Vicente Luque is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.04 times per 15 min. Luque is getting his opponent to the mat on 60% of his tries and is defending 62% of all takedown tries against him. Buckley is finishing his takedown tries on 36% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 65% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Luque is the more able fighter by attempting 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes while Buckley tries 0.3 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his previous bout, Vicente Luque faced Rafael Dos Anjos and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Anjos ended up landing 94 of 170 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Luque finished this fight landing 138 of 221 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Anjos ended up landing 66 of 136, giving him a percentage of 48%. He finished the fight landing 42 of 108 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Luque landed 51% of his significant strikes by connecting on 72 of 141. Out of those significant strikes, he was 48 of 115 to the head. 57% of the significant strikes connected on by Anjos and 83% of them landed by Luque were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Joaquin Buckley, he fought Alex Morono and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Morono ended up landing 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Buckley ended up connecting on 80% of his significant strikes at distance. Buckley ended up landing 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 68 of 176. He ended up connecting on 41 of 134 significant strikes directed at the head. Morono landed 40 of 141 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 29 of 122 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Morono ended up landing 54 of 161 while Buckley ended up connecting on 77 of 186 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Chris Weidman opposes Bruno Silva. Weidman steps into the Octagon holding a record of 15-7-0. The 39-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Silva stands 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 23-10-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 74". In terms of takedowns, Chris Weidman takes his opponents down 3.60 times per 15 minutes while Bruno Silva scores a takedown 1.09 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Weidman is landing 2.98 strikes per minute and connecting on 43% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Bruno Silva, who tags his opponent on 51% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 4.43 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Sedriques Dumas is set to battle Nursulton Ruziboev. Ruziboev steps into the cage holding a mark of 33-8-2 (2 NC). The 30-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and stands 6'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Dumas measures 6'2" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 79". Regarding takedowns, Nursulton Ruziboev curbs 15% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 85% of the times he tries. Dumas is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 40% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Ruziboev is absorbing 2.34 strikes per minute and he is landing 4.68 strikes/minute. Dumas, at the same time, takes 2.01 strikes per minute and is dealing 1.88 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Vicente Luque (-118)

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