Tom Nolan vs Alex Reyes Pick, 8/17/2024 Predictions UFC 305 Odds

Tom Nolan vs Alex Reyes

UFC 305

RAC Arena in Perth, Australia

Saturday, August 17, 2024

Tom Nolan will take on Alex Reyes at UFC 305 on Saturday, August 17, 2024. The opener has Nolan at -1350 while Reyes is at +800.

Tom "Big Train" Nolan has a career mark of 7-1-0. The 24-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures 6'3". The southpaw fighter reaches 73". Alex "The Executioner" Reyes stands 5'11" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 13-4-0. The 37-year-old extends his reach 73". Regarding significant strikes, Tom Nolan connects on 9.26 per min while Alex Reyes is landing 4.04 significant strikes per minute. Nolan lands 53% of the significant strikes he tries while Reyes connects on 39%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Big Train" absorbs 6.54 significant strikes per minute while "The Executioner" absorbs 10.91. Nolan also stops 41% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Reyes is able to deflect 40% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Regarding grappling, Tom Nolan is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.60 times per 3 rds. Nolan is scoring a takedown on 15% of his tries and is defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Reyes is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his takedown attempts and is defending 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Nolan is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Reyes tries 0.8 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Tom Nolan fought Victor Martinez and ended up winning this fight via a knee to the body in round 1. Martinez ended up landing 20 of 29 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Nolan ended the night having landed 41 of 72 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Martinez landed 18 of 26, which means his percentage was 69%. He finished the fight landing 6 of 12 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Nolan ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 33 of 64. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 14 of 38 pointed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Martinez and 87% of them landed by Nolan were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Alex Reyes, he squared up with Charlie Campbell and was on the losing end of this fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Campbell connected on 81% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Reyes landed 85% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Reyes connected on 36% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 14 of 38. He ended up connecting on 8 of 30 significant strikes to the head. Campbell ended up landing 43 of 72 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 27 of 53 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown in that contest, Campbell ended up landing 43 of 72 while Reyes was 15 of 39 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Song Kenan goes up against Ricky Glenn. Kenan comes into this fight with a record of 20-8-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Glenn comes in at 6'0" and weighs 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 22-8-2. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of takedowns, Song Kenan is averaging a takedown 0.34 times per 15 minutes and Ricky Glenn scores a takedown 0.55 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Kenan lands 4.36 strikes/min and connecting on 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Ricky Glenn, who tags his opponent on 43% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 3.94 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Luana Santos is set to battle Casey O'Neill. O'Neill walks into the cage holding a mark of 9-2-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Santos stands in at 5'6" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 8-1-0. The 24-year-old extends her reach 67". Concerning wrestling, Casey O'Neill is able to curb 66% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 38% of her tries. Santos is taking her opponents to the mat on 60% of the attempts she tries and is able to deflect 66% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, O'Neill absorbs 6.30 strikes per minute while she is dealing 8.41 strikes/minute. Santos, on the other side, absorbs 3.21 strikes per min and is connecting on 5.33 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tom Nolan (-1350)

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