Thomas Petersen vs Jamal Pogues Pick, 2/3/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 85 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/29/2024

Thomas Petersen vs Jamal Pogues

UFC Vegas 85

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, February 3, 2024

Thomas Petersen will take on Jamal Pogues at UFC Vegas 85 on Saturday, February 3, 2024. The opening line has Petersen priced at -166 while Pogues is coming in at +140.

Thomas "The Train" Petersen steps into the cage holding a mark of 8-1-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 264 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Jamal Pogues measures in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 10-4-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 77". Regarding significant strikes, Thomas Petersen connects on 3.59 per min and Jamal Pogues connects on 3.12 significant strikes per min. Petersen lands 73% of the significant strikes he attempts and Pogues lands 42%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Train" takes 2.45 significant strikes per minute while Pogues absorbs 4.25. Petersen also defends against 40% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Pogues deflects 52% of them.

ufc picks Thomas Petersen predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 85	Thomas Petersen	Jamal Pogues
Opening Odds	-166	+140
Record	8-1-0	10-4-0
Average Fight Time	6:08	15:00
Height	6'1"	6'3"
Weight	264 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	74"	77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.59	3.12
Striking Accuracy	73%	42%

Concerning takedowns, Thomas Petersen is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents down 7.34 times per 15 minutes. Petersen is scoring a takedown on 85% of his attempts and is defending 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Pogues is taking his opponents to the canvas on 48% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 66% of the tries against him. In terms of going for the submission, Petersen is the more able fighter by attempting 2.5 submissions per 3 rds while Pogues attempts 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Thomas Petersen went up against Chandler Cole and ended up getting the victory by way of a keylock from a crucifix in round 2. Cole ended up landing 15 of 26 total strikes that he let go. Petersen ended the night having landed 61 of 70 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Cole ended up landing 15 of 25, which means his percentage was 60%. He landed 4 of 14 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Petersen landed 73% of his significant strikes by connecting on 22 of 30. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 21 of 29 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Cole and 18% of them connected on by Petersen were done at distance.

In the last fight for Jamal Pogues, he went up against Mick Parkin and took a loss on the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Parkin ended up landing 96% of his significant strikes at distance while Pogues landed 94% of his significant strikes at distance. Pogues ended up connecting on 26% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 36 of 135. He connected on 22 of 119 significant strikes aimed at the head. Parkin ended up landing 95 of 156 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 37 of 94 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Parkin landed 98 of 159 while Pogues landed 37 of 136 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Viviane Araujo squares up with Natalia Silva. Araujo will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 12-5-0. The 37-year-old weighs 125 lbs and measures in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Silva stands in at 5'4" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 16-5-1. The 26-year-old extends her reach 65". In terms of takedowns, Viviane Araujo takes her opponents to the mat 1.83 times per 3 rounds while Natalia Silva takes her opponents to the canvas 0.68 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Araujo lands an average of 4.34 strikes/minute and landing 47% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Natalia Silva, who connects on 48% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 5.20 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Diana Belbita is set to enter the Octagon with Molly McCann. McCann will be looking to add a win to her career total of 13-6-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Belbita measures in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 15-8-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 68". Regarding takedowns, Molly McCann curbs 43% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 35% of her tries. Belbita is taking her opponents to the mat on 62% of her tries and thwarts 69% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, McCann is absorbing 4.90 strikes per min while she is landing 5.68 per min. Belbita, on the other hand, absorbs 6.43 strikes per minute and lands 6.59 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Jamal Pogues (+140)

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Thomas Petersen vs Jamal Pogues Pick, 2/3/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 85 Odds

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