Themba Gorimbo vs Pete Rodriguez Pick, 2/3/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 85 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/29/2024

Themba Gorimbo vs Pete Rodriguez

UFC Vegas 85

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, February 3, 2024

Themba Gorimbo will face off with Pete Rodriguez at UFC Vegas 85 on Saturday, February 3, 2024. The odds have Gorimbo coming in at -245 while Rodriguez is priced at +200.

Themba "The Answer" Gorimbo steps into the cage with a mark of 11-4-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Pete "Dead Game" Rodriguez measures in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 5-1-0. The 27-year-old reaches 71". Concerning significant strikes, Themba Gorimbo is connecting on 1.80 per minute while Pete Rodriguez connects on 10.37 significant strikes per min. Gorimbo is landing 59% of the significant strikes he tries while Rodriguez connects on 46%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Answer" takes 1.71 significant strikes per min while "Dead Game" allows 11.69. Gorimbo also deflects 42% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Rodriguez is able to thwart 44% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Pete Rodriguez ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 85	Themba Gorimbo	Pete Rodriguez
Opening Odds	-245	+200
Record	11-4-0	5-1-0
Average Fight Time	10:49	2:16
Height	6'1"	5'9"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	77"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	1.80	10.37
Striking Accuracy	59%	46%

In the wrestling category, Themba Gorimbo is the more capable wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 3.47 times per 3 rounds. Gorimbo is scoring a takedown on 50% of the times he tries and stopping 66% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Rodriguez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his takedown tries and is defending 85% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Gorimbo is the more skilled fighter by trying 0.8 submissions per 15 min while Rodriguez looks to get 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Themba Gorimbo squared up with Takashi Sato and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Sato landed 56 of 76 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Gorimbo walked away from this fight having landed 110 of 158 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Sato ended up landing 30 of 47, which gave him a rate of 63%. He landed 21 of 37 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Gorimbo landed 58% of his significant strikes by connecting on 33 of 56. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 21 of 41 aimed at the head. 16% of the significant strikes landed by Sato and 36% of them landed by Gorimbo were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Pete Rodriguez, he went up against Mike Jackson and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of a knee to the head in round 1. Jackson connected on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Rodriguez landed 59% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Rodriguez ended up landing 66% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 22 of 33. He ended up connecting on 12 of 23 significant strikes directed at the head. Jackson landed 10 of 15 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 8 of 13 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Jackson landed 11 of 16 while Rodriguez was 26 of 39 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when JeongYeong Lee squares up in the Octagon against Blake Bilder. Lee will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Bilder stands 5'8" and weighs 145 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 8-1-1. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 68". When it comes to grappling, JeongYeong Lee is averaging a takedown 0.40 times per 15 min while Blake Bilder scores a takedown 0.45 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Lee lands 2.39 strikes per min and lands 47% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Blake Bilder, who is landing 50% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 4.96 per min.

Another bout to watch is when MarQuel Mederos is set to encounter Landon Quinones. Quinones has a career record of 7-2-1. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Mederos measures in at 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 69". In the category of takedowns, Landon Quinones deflects 85% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his attempts. Mederos is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and defends against 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Quinones is absorbing 11.40 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 9.87 strikes per minute. Mederos, on the contrary, is taking 1.93 strikes per min and connects on 5.78 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Themba Gorimbo (-245)

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Themba Gorimbo vs Pete Rodriguez Pick, 2/3/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 85 Odds

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