Taylor Lapilus vs Vince Morales Pick, 9/28/2024 Predictions UFC Paris Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/24/2024

Taylor Lapilus vs Vince Morales

UFC Paris

Accor Arena in Paris, France

Saturday, September 28, 2024

Taylor Lapilus will battle Vince Morales at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 28, 2024. The line has Lapilus priced at -355 while Morales is at +280.

Taylor "Double Impact" Lapilus holds a record of 20-4-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 73". Vince "Vandetta" Morales stands in at 5'9" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 16-7-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 70". With respect to significant strikes, Taylor Lapilus is landing 4.33 per min while Vince Morales is landing 4.17 significant strikes per min. Lapilus lands 48% of the significant strikes he tries while Morales is connecting on 37%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Double Impact" takes 2.61 significant strikes per min while "Vandetta" absorbs 4.24. Lapilus also stops 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Morales defends against 53% of them.

ufc picks Taylor Lapilus ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Paris	Taylor Lapilus	Vince Morales
Opening Odds	-355	+280
Record	20-4-0	16-7-0
Average Fight Time	13:47	12:02
Height	5'6"	5'9"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	73"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.33	4.17
Striking Accuracy	48%	37%

In the category of takedowns, Taylor Lapilus is the more capable wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.31 times per 3 rds. Lapilus is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of his attempts and is stuffing 78% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Morales is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 64% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Lapilus is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.3 subs per 15 min while Morales tries 0.7 subs per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Taylor Lapilus squared up with Cody Stamann and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Stamann landed 64 of 150 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Lapilus walked away from this fight having landed 107 of 190 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Stamann landed 59 of 143, which means his percentage was 41%. He finished the fight landing 23 of 101 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Lapilus landed 55% of his significant strikes by sticking 100 of 180. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 60 of 132 pointed at the head. 79% of the significant strikes landed by Stamann and 84% of them landed by Lapilus were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Vince Morales, he battled Miles Johns and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Johns ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Morales landed 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Morales ended up landing 29% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 39 of 131. He connected on 28 of 112 significant strikes to the head. Johns landed 38 of 103 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 28 of 92 to the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Johns was 45 of 110 while Morales ended up connecting on 47 of 139 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Daniel Barez meets Victor Altamirano. Barez steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-6-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 66". Altamirano stands in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 12-4-0. The 33-year-old reaches 70". In the grappling category, Daniel Barez gets a takedown 4.07 times per 15 minutes and Victor Altamirano is able to score a takedown 3.43 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Barez lands 3.80 strikes/min and connects on 53% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Victor Altamirano, who is landing 57% of the strikes that he throws and lands 4.55 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Chris Duncan is set to fight Bolaji Oki. Oki will be looking to add a victory to his total of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Duncan comes in at 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 11-2-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of wrestling, Bolaji Oki defends against 83% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the mat on 85% of his tries. Duncan is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 33% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Oki absorbs 2.53 strikes/minute while he is landing 5.18 strikes per minute. Duncan, on the other side, absorbs 3.65 strikes per min and is dealing 4.88 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Taylor Lapilus (-355)

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Taylor Lapilus vs Vince Morales Pick, 9/28/2024 Predictions UFC Paris Odds

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