Tai Tuivasa vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Pick, 8/17/2024 Predictions UFC 305 Odds

Tai Tuivasa vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik

UFC 305

RAC Arena in Perth, Australia

Saturday, August 17, 2024

Tai Tuivasa will face off with Jairzinho Rozenstruik at UFC 305 on Saturday, August 17, 2024. The moneyline has Tuivasa at +185 while Rozenstruik is at -225.

Tai "Bam Bam" Tuivasa comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-7-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 264 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Jairzinho "Bigi Boy" Rozenstruik stands in at 6'2" and is fighting at 242 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-5-0. The 36-year-old extends his reach 78". Regarding significant strikes, Tai Tuivasa is connecting on 3.96 per min while Jairzinho Rozenstruik connects on 3.44 significant strikes per min. Tuivasa lands 49% of the significant strikes he tries and Rozenstruik is connecting on 49%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Bam Bam" absorbs 5.05 significant strikes per min while "Bigi Boy" allows 2.78. Tuivasa also curbs 43% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Rozenstruik prevents 47% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Regarding grappling, Tai Tuivasa is the more apt grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.90 times per 15 min. Tuivasa is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the times he tries and stuffing 57% of all takedown attempts. Rozenstruik is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 75% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Tuivasa is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 submissions per 15 min while Rozenstruik tries 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Tai Tuivasa fought Marcin Tybura and walked away in defeat by rear naked choke in round 1. Tybura ended up landing 73 of 96 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Tuivasa finished this fight landing 18 of 27 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Tybura landed 27 of 41, which gave him a percentage of 65%. He landed 23 of 34 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Tuivasa landed 62% of his significant strikes by landing 15 of 24. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 9 of 17 aimed at the head. 29% of the significant strikes connected on by Tybura and 53% of them connected on by Tuivasa were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Jairzinho Rozenstruik, he battled Shamil Gaziev and wound up taking home the win by way of an eye injury by Gaziev in round 4. Gaziev ended up connecting on 77% of his significant strikes at distance and Rozenstruik ended up landing 96% of his significant strikes at distance. Rozenstruik ended up connecting on 59% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 127 of 215. He ended up connecting on 78 of 158 significant strikes directed at the head. Gaziev landed 22 of 68 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 16 of 59 to the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Gaziev ended up connecting on 27 of 75 and Rozenstruik connected on 140 of 230 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Li Jingliang encounters Carlos Prates. Jingliang steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-8-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Prates comes in at 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 19-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 78". In terms of takedowns, Li Jingliang takes his opponents to the canvas 1.25 times per 15 min while Carlos Prates scores a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Jingliang lands an average of 4.46 strikes/min and is landing 42% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Carlos Prates, who connects on 52% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 4.09 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Valter Walker is set to encounter Junior Tafa. Tafa steps into the cage holding a record of 5-2-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 240 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Walker measures in at 6'6" and is fighting at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 78". In terms of grappling, Junior Tafa is stopping 81% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 15% of the times he tries. Walker is finishing his takedowns on 80% of his attempts and is able to thwart 15% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Tafa takes 1.86 strikes per min while he connects on 1.81 strikes per minute. Walker, in contrast, absorbs 3.87 strikes/min and connects on 2.20 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Jairzinho Rozenstruik (-225)

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