Docs Website

53 Years Strong! A Trusted Leader In Sports Picks, Best Bets and Predictions Since 1971.

Main Menu
Free Picks » UFC Picks » Steve Garcia vs Kyle Nelson Pick, 9/7/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 97 Odds

Steve Garcia vs Kyle Nelson Pick, 9/7/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 97 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/4/2024

Steve Garcia vs Kyle Nelson

UFC Vegas 97

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, September 7, 2024

Steve Garcia will enter the Octagon with Kyle Nelson at UFC Vegas 97 on Saturday, September 7, 2024. The opener has Garcia at -185 while Nelson is at +154.

Steve "Mean Machine" Garcia steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-5-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter reaches 75". Kyle "The Monster" Nelson measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a record of 16-5-1. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 71". When talking about significant strikes, Steve Garcia is connecting on 5.00 per minute while Kyle Nelson is landing 3.65 significant strikes per min. Garcia is connecting on 56% of the significant strikes he throws and Nelson is landing 45%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Mean Machine" allows 2.51 significant strikes per min and "The Monster" takes 4.69. Garcia also defends 46% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Nelson deflects 52% of them.

ufc picks Steve Garcia ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 97 Steve Garcia Kyle Nelson
Opening Odds -185 +154
Record 16-5-0 16-5-1
Average Fight Time 5:16 10:36
Height 6'0" 5'11"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 75" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.00 3.65
Striking Accuracy 56% 45%

When it comes to wrestling, Steve Garcia is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.27 times per 3 rounds. Garcia is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of the times he tries and stuffing 88% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Nelson is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 73% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Garcia is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds while Nelson attempts 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes.

Get all of our UFC Betting Picks

In his previous bout, Steve Garcia squared up with SeungWoo Choi and got a win for the night via a punch to the head in round 1. Choi ended up landing 9 of 16 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Garcia ended the night having landed 18 of 34 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Choi landed 9 of 15, giving him a percentage of 60%. He landed 7 of 13 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Garcia ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes by landing 15 of 27. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 10 of 19 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Choi and 60% of them connected on by Garcia were tallied at distance.

Free Picks

In the last bout for Kyle Nelson, he battled Bill Algeo and wound up getting the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Algeo landed 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Nelson connected on 87% of his significant strikes at distance. Nelson landed 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 32 of 59. He ended up connecting on 20 of 45 significant strikes to the head. Algeo connected on 30 of 58 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 11 of 34 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Algeo ended up landing 44 of 73 and Nelson ended up connecting on 40 of 68 total strikes.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Matt Schnell squares up with Alessandro Costa. Schnell will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 16-8-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Costa measures 5'4" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-4-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 67". In terms of takedowns, Matt Schnell takes his opponents down 0.59 times per 3 rounds while Alessandro Costa takes his opponents to the mat 0.27 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Schnell connects for an average of 4.23 strikes per min and is landing 38% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Alessandro Costa, who lands 47% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 4.14 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Yanal Ashmouz is set to clash with Trevor Peek. Peek comes into this fight with a record of 9-2-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The switch fighter stretches 70". Ashmouz stands in at 5'9" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 7-1-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 68". In terms of grappling, Trevor Peek is thwarting 54% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 53% of his attempts. Ashmouz is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Peek is taking 4.17 strikes/minute and he is landing 4.58 strikes/minute. Ashmouz, moreover, is taking 5.35 strikes per minute and deals 3.08 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Kyle Nelson (+154)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Most Recent UFC Picks

One E-mail A Week Is All You Need!
Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers