Stephanie Luciano vs Talita Alencar Pick, 8/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 95 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 8/6/2024

Stephanie Luciano vs Talita Alencar

UFC Vegas 95

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, August 10, 2024

Stephanie Luciano will enter the Octagon with Talita Alencar at UFC Vegas 95 on Saturday, August 10, 2024. The opening line has Luciano at -170 while Alencar is at +142.

Yana Santos comes into this bout with a record of 5-1-1. The 24-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Chelsea Chandler comes in at 5'1" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 5-0-1. The 33-year-old extends her reach 58". When talking about significant strikes, Stephanie Luciano is landing 5.80 per minute and Talita Alencar connects on 2.37 significant strikes per min. Luciano is landing 57% of the significant strikes she attempts and Alencar connects on 28%. Regarding defense, "Rondinha" allows 2.33 significant strikes per min and "Problem Child" absorbs 4.80. Luciano also thwarts 61% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Alencar is able to defend against 48% of the shots thrown in her direction.

ufc picks Stephanie Luciano ufc predictions best bet odds

W**AdsterraTest**W

UFC Vegas 95	Stephanie Luciano	Talita Alencar
Opening Odds	-170	+142
Record	5-1-1	5-0-1
Average Fight Time	15:00	15:00
Height	5'6"	5'1"
Weight	115 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	65"	58"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.80	2.37
Striking Accuracy	57%	28%

When it comes to grappling, Stephanie Luciano is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.00 times per 3 rds. Luciano is getting her opponent to the mat on 85% of her tries and stopping 83% of all takedown attempts. Alencar is taking her opponents to the canvas on 15% of her takedown tries and thwarting 50% of the attempts against her. In terms of going for the submission, Luciano is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes while Alencar looks to get 0.7 submissions per 3 rds.

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In her last bout, Stephanie Luciano faced Talita Alencar and ended up in a draw via unanimous decision in round 3. Alencar ended up landing 66 of 139 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Luciano walked away from this fight having landed 136 of 209 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Alencar landed 35 of 90, which means her percentage was 38%. She landed 27 of 78 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Luciano ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 87 of 152. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she landed 67 of 122 aimed at the head. 42% of the significant strikes connected on by Alencar and 74% of them landed by Luciano were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Talita Alencar, she squared up with Stephanie Luciano and ended up in a draw via unanimous decision in round 3. Luciano ended up connecting on 74% of her significant strikes at distance while Alencar ended up connecting on 42% of her significant strikes at distance. Alencar connected on 38% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 35 of 90. She landed 27 of 78 significant strikes to the head. Luciano landed 87 of 152 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 67 of 122 to the head. Regarding total strikes that she let go in that contest, Luciano connected on 136 of 209 while Alencar ended up landing 66 of 139 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Karol Rosa goes up against Pannie Kianzad. Rosa has a career mark of 17-6-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Kianzad stands in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 17-8-0. The 32-year-old stretches 66". In the grappling category, Karol Rosa is able to score a takedown 1.22 times per 3 rds and Pannie Kianzad takes her opponents to the canvas 0.46 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Rosa connects for an average of 6.34 strikes per min and is connecting on 56% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Pannie Kianzad, who connects on 49% of the strikes she attempts and is landing 4.74 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Serghei Spivac is set to enter the Octagon with Marcin Tybura. Tybura will be looking to add a win to his record of 25-8-0. The 38-year-old is weighing in at 249 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Spivac stands 6'3" and steps on the scale at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 16-4-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 78". In terms of wrestling, Marcin Tybura is able to thwart 79% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of his tries. Spivac is finishing his takedown tries on 64% of the tries he takes and defends against 70% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Tybura is taking 3.35 strikes per min while he deals 3.60 per min. Spivac, moreover, absorbs 3.79 strikes per min and deals 3.54 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Talita Alencar (+142)

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Pick:	DRAW (+295)
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Free Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Tuesday: Take Mallorca/Barcelona to DRAW (+295) (1 p.m. EST, Tuesday, December 3) This is a very public line for Barcelona, who have been struggling lately and are not in top form. They are being lined in this matchup, however, like they are in form, and there is really great value on the draw here. Mallorca are no pushovers this season as they sit at No. 6 on the table and have earned points in 10 of 15 matches. They have won two straight, so they will enter this crucial matchup with confidence. We are not sure they have enough to earn the full three points, but Barca are vulnerable right now. They have earned only one point in their last three league matches, and that was a road draw at Celta Vigo. They dropped their last match at home, 2-1, to Las Palmas as a massive favorite. But the oddsmakers aren’t punishing them for their recent poor performance, so there is value here in the draw. The last meeting at Estadi Mallorca resulted in a 2-2 stalemate. Read More Read Less

Stephanie Luciano vs Talita Alencar Pick, 8/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 95 Odds

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