Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Machado Garry Pick, 12/07/2024 Predictions UFC 310 Odds

Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Machado Garry

UFC 310

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, December 7, 2024

Shavkat Rakhmonov will take on Ian Machado Garry at UFC 310 on Saturday, December 7, 2024. The opener has Rakhmonov priced at -210 while Garry is coming in at +285.

Shavkat "Nomad" Rakhmonov walks into the cage holding a mark of 18-0-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 77". Ian "The Future" Machado Garry stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 15-0-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 74". When talking about significant strikes, Shavkat Rakhmonov is landing 4.12 per min while Ian Machado Garry connects on 5.50 significant strikes per minute. Rakhmonov connects on 61% of the significant strikes he tries while Machado Garry connects on 55%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Nomad" absorbs 2.41 significant strikes per min while "The Future" absorbs 3.17. Rakhmonov also curbs 51% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Machado Garry defends against 52% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the grappling category, Shavkat Rakhmonov is the more effective grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.49 times per 15 min. Rakhmonov is scoring a takedown on 29% of the times he tries and is stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Machado Garry is taking his opponents down on 55% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 69% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of submission attempts, Rakhmonov is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 1.8 submissions per 3 rounds while Machado Garry attempts 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Shavkat Rakhmonov fought Stephen Thompson and ended up getting the win via rear naked choke in round 2. Thompson landed 26 of 37 total strikes that he let go. Rakhmonov finished this fight landing 73 of 88 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Thompson landed 16 of 25, which gave him a rate of 64%. He landed 6 of 15 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Rakhmonov ended up landing 77% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 28 of 36. Of those significant strikes, he landed 24 of 31 aimed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes connected on by Thompson and 17% of them landed by Rakhmonov were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Ian Machado Garry, he faced off with Michael Page and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Page connected on 90% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Garry ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes at distance. Garry landed 48% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 19 of 39. He landed 12 of 26 significant strikes to the head. Page ended up landing 21 of 38 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 15 of 28 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Page was 52 of 74 while Garry ended up landing 65 of 101 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Ciryl Gane squares up in the Octagon against Alexander Volkov. Gane steps into the cage with a mark of 12-2-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 245 lbs and stands 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 81". Volkov measures in at 6'7" and tips the scales at 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 38-10-0. The 36-year-old reaches 80". When it comes to grappling, Ciryl Gane scores a takedown 0.58 times per 15 minutes and Alexander Volkov takes his opponents to the mat 0.45 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Gane connects on 5.49 strikes/min and connects on 60% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Alexander Volkov, who tags the opposition on 57% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 5.13 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Kron Gracie is set to square up against Bryce Mitchell. Mitchell has a mark of 16-3-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Gracie stands 5'9" and will fight at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 5-2-0. The 36-year-old extends his reach 70". In the category of takedowns, Bryce Mitchell curbs 33% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 41% of the times he tries. Gracie is taking his opponents down on 25% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Mitchell takes 1.63 strikes/min and he dishes out 2.30 strikes per minute. Gracie, on the other hand, is taking 6.82 strikes/minute and dishes out 3.74 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Shavkat Rakhmonov (-210)

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