Sergei Pavlovich vs Alexander Volkov Pick, 6/22/2024 Predictions UFC Saudi Arabia Odds

by Tony Sink - 6/18/2024

Sergei Pavlovich vs Alexander Volkov

UFC Saudi Arabia

Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, June 22, 2024

Sergei Pavlovich will battle Alexander Volkov at UFC Saudi Arabia on Saturday, June 22, 2024. The opening moneyline has Pavlovich priced at -238 while Volkov is priced at +195.

Sergei Pavlovich looks to add a win to his career record of 18-2-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 257 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 84". Alexander "Drago" Volkov stands in at 6'7" and will fight at 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 37-10-0. The 35-year-old extends his reach 80". When talking about significant strikes, Sergei Pavlovich is landing 8.21 per min while Alexander Volkov is landing 5.10 significant strikes per minute. Pavlovich is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he attempts and Volkov lands 57%. When it comes to defending themselves, Pavlovich absorbs 4.61 significant strikes per min and "Drago" takes 3.00. Pavlovich also deflects 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Volkov is able to deflect 54% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Sergei Pavlovich ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Saudi Arabia	Sergei Pavlovich	Alexander Volkov
Opening Odds	-238	+195
Record	18-2-0	37-10-0
Average Fight Time	2:13	12:43
Height	6'3"	6'7"
Weight	257 lbs	250 lbs
Reach	84"	80"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	8.21	5.10
Striking Accuracy	48%	57%

Concerning grappling, Sergei Pavlovich is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.30 times per 15 min. Pavlovich is scoring a takedown on 15% of his tries and is stopping 75% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Volkov is getting his opponent to the mat on 63% of his takedown attempts and stopping 73% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to sub attempts, Pavlovich is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 0.7 submissions per 15 min while Volkov goes for 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Sergei Pavlovich went up against Tom Aspinall and ended up walking away in defeat by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Aspinall landed 10 of 14 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Pavlovich walked away from this fight having landed 1 of 7 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Aspinall landed 10 of 14, which gave him a percentage of 71%. He ended up landing 7 of 10 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Pavlovich ended up landing 14% of his significant strikes by sticking 1 of 7. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 7 to the head. 70% of the significant strikes landed by Aspinall and 100% of them landed by Pavlovich were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Alexander Volkov, he faced off with Tai Tuivasa and got a win for the night by way of an ezekiel choke from the mount position in round 2. Tuivasa connected on 92% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Volkov connected on 77% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Volkov connected on 65% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 93 of 143. He ended up connecting on 65 of 110 significant strikes directed at the head. Tuivasa connected on 28 of 67 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 4 of 31 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Tuivasa was 30 of 69 and Volkov landed 107 of 164 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Kelvin Gastelum squares up in the Octagon against Daniel Rodriguez. Gastelum has a career mark of 18-9-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 71". Rodriguez measures in at 6'1" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a record of 17-4-0. The 37-year-old reaches 74". In terms of takedowns, Kelvin Gastelum gets his opposition to the mat 0.96 times per 15 min while Daniel Rodriguez takes his opponents to the canvas 0.62 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Gastelum tags his opponents 3.55 strikes per minute and landing 41% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Daniel Rodriguez, who tags the opposition on 50% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 7.30 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Volkan Oezdemir is set to enter the Octagon with Johnny Walker. Walker looks to add a win to his record of 21-8-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures 6'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 82". Oezdemir measures in at 6'2" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 19-7-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 75". Concerning wrestling, Johnny Walker is preventing 57% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is scoring a takedown on 85% of his tries. Oezdemir is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his tries and deflects 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Walker takes 2.83 strikes/min while he is dealing 3.81 per minute. Oezdemir, on the other hand, is taking 3.92 strikes/minute and is connecting on 4.59 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Alexander Volkov (+195)

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Sergei Pavlovich vs Alexander Volkov Pick, 6/22/2024 Predictions UFC Saudi Arabia Odds

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