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Sam Patterson vs Kiefer Crosbie Pick, 7/27/2024 Predictions UFC 304 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/23/2024

Sam Patterson vs Kiefer Crosbie

UFC 304

Co-op Live in Manchester, England

Saturday, July 27, 2024

Sam Patterson will enter the Octagon against Kiefer Crosbie at UFC 304 on Saturday, July 27, 2024. The opening odds have Patterson at -360 while Crosbie is at +285.

Sam Patterson has a record of 11-2-1. The 28-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Kiefer "BDK" Crosbie measures 5'11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 10-4-0. The 34-year-old reaches 70". In the category of significant strikes, Sam Patterson is connecting on 2.54 per minute and Kiefer Crosbie is landing 8.10 significant strikes per min. Patterson connects on 38% of the significant strikes he tries while Crosbie is connecting on 66%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Patterson absorbs 3.41 significant strikes per min and "BDK" takes 6.02. Patterson also defends against 49% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Crosbie is able to deflect 50% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks sam patterson predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 304 Sam Patterson Kiefer Crosbie
Opening Odds -360 +285
Record 11-2-1 10-4-0
Average Fight Time 4:12 4:49
Height 6'3" 5'11"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 78" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.54 8.10
Striking Accuracy 38% 66%

In terms of takedowns, Sam Patterson is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.19 times per 15 min. Patterson is taking his opponents to the canvas on 85% of the times he tries and stuffing 33% of all takedowns attempted on him. Crosbie is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the takedowns he tries and defending 15% of the tries against him. When it comes to sub attempts, Patterson is the more skilled fighter by trying 3.6 subs per 15 min while Crosbie looks to get 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Sam Patterson fought Yohan Lainesse and ended up getting the victory by rear naked choke in round 1. Lainesse ended up landing 1 of 9 total strikes attempted in that fight. Patterson ended the night having landed 5 of 10 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Lainesse ended up landing 1 of 9, which gave him a rate of 11%. He finished the fight landing 1 of 8 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Patterson landed 50% of his significant strikes by sticking 5 of 10. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 5 of 10 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Lainesse and 100% of them connected on by Patterson were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Kiefer Crosbie, he battled Kevin Jousset and walked away in defeat via rear naked choke in round 1. Jousset connected on 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Crosbie landed 92% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Crosbie connected on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 39 of 59. He connected on 20 of 37 significant strikes directed at the head. Jousset ended up landing 29 of 58 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 18 of 44 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Jousset ended up connecting on 39 of 69 while Crosbie ended up landing 45 of 66 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Modestas Bukauskas enters the Octagon with Marcin Prachnio. Bukauskas holds a record of 15-6-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The switch fighter stretches 78". Prachnio stands in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 17-7-0. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In the grappling category, Modestas Bukauskas takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 3 rds while Marcin Prachnio takes his opponents to the canvas 0.17 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Bukauskas connects for an average of 3.28 strikes/min and is landing 41% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Marcin Prachnio, who is connecting on 55% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 5.61 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Bruna Brasil is set to fight Molly McCann. McCann steps into the cage with a mark of 14-6-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Brasil stands in at 5'6" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her total of 9-4-1. The 30-year-old reaches 65". Concerning wrestling, Molly McCann is able to curb 43% of her opponents takedown tries and is getting her opponent to the mat on 38% of her tries. Brasil is taking her opponents to the mat on 62% of her tries and stops 53% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, McCann is absorbing 4.94 strikes per minute and she is dealing 5.79 per minute. Brasil, moreover, takes 3.92 strikes/minute and is landing 2.94 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Sam Patterson (-360)

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