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Ryan Spann vs Ovince Saint Preux Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/1/2024

Ryan Spann vs Ovince Saint Preux

UFC 307

Delta Center in Salt Lake City

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Ryan Spann will enter the Octagon against Ovince Saint Preux at UFC 307 on Saturday, October 5, 2024. The opening odds have Spann priced at -355 while Preux is coming in at +280.

Ryan "Superman" Spann steps into the Octagon with a record of 21-10-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 205 lbs. and measures in at 6' 5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 79". Ovince Saint Preux measures 6' 3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs.. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 27-17-0. The 41-year-old has a reach of 80". When talking about significant strikes, Ryan Spann is landing 3.25 per minute while Ovince Saint Preux is connecting on 3.03 significant strikes per minute. Spann is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he attempts and Saint Preux connects on 47%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Superman" allows 3.89 significant strikes per min while Saint Preux takes 3.32. Spann also defends 44% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Saint Preux defends against 47% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Ryan Spann ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 307 Ryan Spann Ovince Saint Preux
Opening Odds -355 +280
Record 21-10-0 27-17-0
Average Fight Time 5:35 9:39
Height 6' 5" 6' 3"
Weight 205 lbs. 205 lbs.
Reach 79" 80"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.25 3.03
Striking Accuracy 40% 47%

Concerning wrestling, Ryan Spann is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he gets a takedown 1.34 times per 3 rounds. Spann is finishing his takedown attempts on 35% of his tries and thwarting 47% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Saint Preux is finishing his takedown tries on 36% of his takedown attempts and stopping 67% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Spann is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 1.5 finishes per 3 rds while Saint Preux looks to get 0.5 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Ryan Spann squared up with Bogdan Guskov and ended up losing the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Guskov ended up landing 49 of 67 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Spann finished this fight landing 20 of 44 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Guskov landed 31 of 48, which gave him a percentage of 64%. He landed 30 of 47 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Spann ended up landing 39% of his significant strikes by landing 15 of 38. Of all the significant strikes, he was 10 of 30 to the head. 54% of the significant strikes connected on by Guskov and 73% of them landed by Spann were done at a distance.

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In the last fight for Ovince Saint Preux, he fought Kennedy Nzechukwu and wound up taking home the victory by split decision in round 3. Nzechukwu ended up landing 87% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Preux landed 91% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Preux ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 143 of 276. He connected on 98 of 223 significant strikes to the head. Nzechukwu landed 106 of 250 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 85 of 213 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Nzechukwu ended up connecting on 106 of 250 while Preux ended up landing 143 of 276 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Court McGee encounters Tim Means. McGee will be looking to add a win to his record of 22-13-0. The 39-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs. and measures 5' 11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Means stands 6' 2" and tips the scales at 170 lbs.. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 33-16-1 (1 NC). The 40-year-old has a wingspan of 75". When it comes to grappling, Court McGee gets his opposition to the mat 1.84 times per 15 min while Tim Means takes his opponents to the mat 1.16 times per 15 min. In the striking category, McGee lands an average of 4.60 strikes/min and connects on 37% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Tim Means, who tags the opposition on 49% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 5.08 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Julianna Pena is set to face off with Raquel Pennington. Pennington walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-9-0. The 36-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs. and comes in at 5' 7". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Pena stands 5' 6" and is fighting at 135 lbs.. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 12-5-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 69". In the category of takedowns, Raquel Pennington is able to defend against 63% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 27% of her tries. Pena is taking her opponents down on 55% of the tries she takes and defends against 23% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Pennington takes 3.29 strikes per minute while she is dealing 4.14 per min. Pena, on the other side, absorbs 2.30 strikes/minute and connects on 3.16 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ovince Saint Preux (+280)

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