Roman Dolidze vs Kevin Holland Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/1/2024

Roman Dolidze vs Kevin Holland

UFC 307

Delta Center in Salt Lake City

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Roman Dolidze will take on Kevin Holland at UFC 307 on Saturday, October 5, 2024. The opening moneyline has Dolidze at +136 while Holland is priced at -162.

Roman Dolidze steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-3-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 185 lbs. and stands 6' 2". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Kevin "Trailblazer" Holland stands 6' 3" and weighs in at 185 lbs.. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 26-11-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old stretches 81". Concerning significant strikes, Roman Dolidze is landing 3.13 per minute and Kevin Holland is landing 4.25 significant strikes per minute. Dolidze is connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Holland is landing 49%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Dolidze allows 3.37 significant strikes per minute while "Trailblazer" absorbs 3.20. Dolidze also deflects 50% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Holland is able to deflect 50% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Roman Dolidze ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 307	Roman Dolidze	Kevin Holland
Opening Odds	+136	-162
Record	13-3-0	26-11-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	11:52	10:49
Height	6' 2"	6' 3"
Weight	185 lbs.	185 lbs.
Reach	76"	81"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.13	4.25
Striking Accuracy	42%	49%

In terms of takedowns, Roman Dolidze is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.26 times per 3 rounds. Dolidze is scoring a takedown on 40% of the times he tries and is defending 33% of the takedowns his opponents try. Holland is getting his opponent to the mat on 38% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 54% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding subbing opponents, Dolidze is the more skilled technician by going for 1.1 submissions per 15 min while Holland attempts 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Roman Dolidze fought Anthony Smith and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Smith landed 51 of 93 total strikes attempted in that fight. Dolidze ended the night having landed 103 of 188 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Smith landed 51 of 93, which gave him a percentage of 54%. He ended up landing 27 of 67 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Dolidze ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes by landing 100 of 185. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 61 of 135 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Smith and 65% of them landed by Dolidze were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Kevin Holland, he fought Michal Oleksiejczuk and took home the win by an armbar from bottom guard in round 1. Oleksiejczuk connected on 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Holland connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Holland ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 8 of 17. He ended up landing 5 of 13 significant strikes aimed at the head. Oleksiejczuk ended up landing 8 of 18 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 5 of 15 directed at the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Oleksiejczuk was 9 of 19 while Holland landed 8 of 17 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Stephen Thompson fights Joaquin Buckley. Thompson steps into the Octagon with a mark of 17-7-1. The 41-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs. and measures in at 6' 0". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Buckley measures in at 5' 10" and tips the scales at 170 lbs.. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 19-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 76". In terms of takedowns, Stephen Thompson gets a takedown 0.26 times per 3 rds and Joaquin Buckley scores a takedown 1.69 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Thompson connects for an average of 4.11 strikes/min and is landing 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Joaquin Buckley, who lands 36% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 4.25 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Ihor Potieria is set to square up with Cesar Almeida. Almeida holds a career mark of 5-1-0. The 36-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs. and measures in at 6' 1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Potieria comes in at 6' 3" and weighs in at 185 lbs.. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 20-6-0. The 28-year-old reaches 75". In the category of takedowns, Cesar Almeida is preventing 56% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of the times he tries. Potieria is taking his opponents down on 15% of the tries he takes and defends against 57% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Almeida absorbs 1.88 strikes per min while he dishes out 4.25 strikes per minute. Potieria, on the other side, absorbs 5.04 strikes per minute and dishes out 5.13 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Roman Dolidze (+136)

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Free NBA pick for Monday from Doc’s Sports: Take New York +4 over Denver (9 p.m. EST, Monday November 25) We like to take a good team after a bad loss, and New York certainly fits the bill here. They had a hiccup on Saturday with a blowout loss at the lowly Jazz. Utah enjoyed very hot shooting from deep in that one, and it was kind of a bit fluky as it’s tough to beat any team that is hitting shots like that. So New York will be in bounce back mode today and they will be playing hard. Beating the Nuggets will put that loss in the rearview mirror. New York right now is the better team. Of course, the Nuggets will always get a top performance from their MVP, but the rest of the team has not been contributing in the ways we would expect. Denver is 9-6 on the season and 6-8-1 ATS. They have dropped three of five entering this matchup. The Knicks have won three of four meetings, and we think they will challenge for the win tonight. Read More Read Less

Roman Dolidze vs Kevin Holland Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

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