Ricky Simon vs Mario Bautista Pick, 1/13/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 84 Odds

Ricky Simon vs Mario Bautista

UFC Vegas 84

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, January 13, 2024

Ricky Simon will take on Mario Bautista at UFC Vegas 84 on Saturday, January 13, 2024. The opening odds have Simon priced at -175 while Bautista is at +145.

Ricky Simon comes into this bout with a mark of 20-4-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Mario Bautista stands 5'9" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 13-2-0. The 30-year-old reaches 69". Concerning significant strikes, Ricky Simon is connecting on 3.01 per minute while Mario Bautista is connecting on 5.32 significant strikes per minute. Simon is landing 44% of the significant strikes he attempts and Bautista connects on 51%. Regarding defense, Simon takes 3.23 significant strikes per min and Bautista takes 4.20. Simon also stops 62% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Bautista prevents 53% of the shots thrown his way.

Regarding grappling, Ricky Simon is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents down 5.84 times per 3 rounds. Simon is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of his tries and defending 75% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Bautista is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 56% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submission attempts, Simon is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.4 subs per 15 min while Bautista tries 1.3 subs per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Ricky Simon fought Song Yadong and wound up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head in round 5. Yadong ended up landing 110 of 234 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Simon walked away from this fight having landed 64 of 144 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Yadong ended up landing 105 of 228, which gave him a rate of 46%. He landed 55 of 163 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Simon ended up landing 43% of his significant strikes by connecting on 60 of 139. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 48 of 127 pointed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes landed by Yadong and 95% of them landed by Simon were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Mario Bautista, he fought Da'Mon Blackshear and ended up winning this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Blackshear ended up connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Bautista ended up connecting on 64% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Bautista ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 79 of 137. He connected on 48 of 103 significant strikes to the head. Blackshear landed 90 of 174 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 48 of 123 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Blackshear ended up connecting on 108 of 192 while Bautista landed 102 of 161 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Phil Hawes fights Brunno Ferreira. Hawes will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 12-5-0. The 35-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Ferreira stands 5'10" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 10-1-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 72". Regarding grappling, Phil Hawes is able to score a takedown 2.28 times per 3 rds and Brunno Ferreira takes his opponents down 0.50 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Hawes tags his opponents 5.55 strikes/min and connecting on 59% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Brunno Ferreira, who is connecting on 53% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 5.79 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Waldo Cortes-Acosta is set to go up against Andrei Arlovski. Arlovski has a mark of 34-22-0 (2 NC). The 44-year-old weighs 240 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Cortes-Acosta measures in at 6'4" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 10-1-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 78". In terms of grappling, Andrei Arlovski is able to curb 76% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of his tries. Cortes-Acosta is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his attempts and is able to stop 60% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Arlovski is taking 3.20 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 3.78 per minute. Cortes-Acosta, moreover, is taking 4.06 strikes/minute and lands 6.97 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mario Bautista (+145)

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