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Renato Moicano vs Drew Dober Pick, 2/3/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 85 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/29/2024

Renato Moicano vs Drew Dober

UFC Vegas 85

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, February 3, 2024

Renato Moicano will face off against Drew Dober at UFC Vegas 85 on Saturday, February 3, 2024. The moneyline has Moicano priced at -155 while Dober is at +130.

Renato Moicano looks to add a victory to his record of 17-5-1. The 34-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Drew Dober comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 27-12-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has an arm span of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Renato Moicano lands 4.75 per min and Drew Dober is connecting on 4.58 significant strikes per minute. Moicano is landing 47% of the significant strikes he tries while Dober lands 40%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Moicano absorbs 4.07 significant strikes per minute and Dober takes 4.46. Moicano also deflects 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Dober is able to defend against 51% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Renato Moicano predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 85 Renato Moicano Drew Dober
Opening Odds -155 +130
Record 17-5-1 27-12-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 9:02 7:39
Height 5'11" 5'8"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 72" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.75 4.58
Striking Accuracy 47% 40%

 

Concerning wrestling, Renato Moicano is the better wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.66 times per 3 rds. Moicano is taking his opponents to the canvas on 46% of his attempts and defending 74% of all takedowns attempted on him. Dober is taking his opponents to the canvas on 17% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 56% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Moicano is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes while Dober looks to get 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Renato Moicano went up against Brad Riddell and ended up winning this fight by rear naked choke in round 1. Riddell landed 14 of 25 total strikes attempted in that contest. Moicano ended the night having landed 11 of 35 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Riddell landed 14 of 25, which means his percentage was 56%. He finished the fight landing 6 of 16 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Moicano ended up landing 30% of his significant strikes by landing 10 of 33. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 10 of 32 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Riddell and 100% of them connected on by Moicano were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Drew Dober, he went up against Ricky Glenn and ended up getting the victory in the fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Glenn ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Dober ended up connecting on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Dober landed 56% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 30 of 53. He ended up connecting on 19 of 40 significant strikes to the head. Glenn connected on 5 of 22 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 2 of 15 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Glenn landed 5 of 22 and Dober ended up landing 30 of 53 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Randy Brown enters the Octagon against Muslim Salikhov. Brown will be looking to add a victory to his total of 17-5-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Salikhov measures in at 5'11" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 19-4-0. The 39-year-old extends his reach 70". When it comes to grappling, Randy Brown gets a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rds while Muslim Salikhov gets a takedown 1.31 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Brown is landing 4.38 strikes per minute and landing 47% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Muslim Salikhov, who is connecting on 51% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.37 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Makhmud Muradov is set to enter the Octagon against Aliaskhab Khizriev. Khizriev steps into the cage holding a mark of 14-0-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 74". Muradov measures in at 6'2" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 26-8-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding takedowns, Aliaskhab Khizriev is able to defend against 85% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 60% of his attempts. Muradov is finishing his takedowns on 66% of his tries and is able to defend against 77% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Khizriev takes 4.36 strikes/min and he lands 6.03 strikes per minute. Muradov, on the other hand, absorbs 2.56 strikes per min and lands 4.21 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Drew Dober (+130)

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