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Renato Moicano vs Benoit Saint Denis Pick, 9/28/2024 Predictions UFC Paris Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/24/2024

Renato Moicano vs Benoit Saint Denis

UFC Paris

Accor Arena in Paris, France

Saturday, September 28, 2024

Renato Moicano will take on Benoit Saint Denis at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 28, 2024. The opening odds have Moicano at +220 while Denis is priced at -270.

Renato Moicano Moicano holds a record of 19-5-1. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Benoit "God of War" Saint Denis measures in at 5'11" and will fight at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 13-2-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Renato Moicano is connecting on 4.38 per min while Benoit Saint Denis is landing 5.70 significant strikes per min. Moicano lands 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Saint Denis connects on 54%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Moicano takes 3.68 significant strikes per minute while "God of War" allows 4.98. Moicano also stops 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Saint Denis is able to defend against 42% of them.

ufc picks Renato Moicano ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Paris Renato Moicano Benoit Saint Denis
Opening Odds +220 -270
Record 19-5-1 13-2-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 9:25 7:12
Height 5'11" 5'11"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 72" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.38 5.70
Striking Accuracy 48% 54%

Concerning grappling, Renato Moicano is not as effective of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.89 times per 15 minutes. Moicano is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of the times he tries and defending 72% of all takedown tries against him. Saint Denis is getting his opponent to the mat on 37% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 69% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Moicano is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.6 subs per 3 rounds while Saint Denis goes for 1.5 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Renato Moicano went up against Jalin Turner and ended up winning this fight by punches to the head from the mount position in round 2. Turner ended up landing 16 of 40 total strikes attempted in that contest. Moicano finished this fight landing 87 of 128 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Turner landed 16 of 40, which means his percentage was 40%. He ended up landing 10 of 32 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Moicano ended up landing 53% of his significant strikes by landing 36 of 67. Out of those significant strikes, he was 32 of 60 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Turner and 30% of them landed by Moicano were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Benoit Saint Denis, he went up against Dustin Poirier and took a loss on the night by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Poirier landed 82% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Denis connected on 34% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Denis ended up connecting on 67% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 50 of 74. He landed 25 of 46 significant strikes to the head. Poirier ended up connecting on 28 of 34 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 24 of 30 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Poirier was 30 of 37 and Denis ended up landing 69 of 97 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Nassourdine Imavov enters the Octagon against Brendan Allen. Imavov comes into this fight with a record of 14-4-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Allen measures 6'2" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 24-5-0. The 28-year-old reaches 75". Regarding grappling, Nassourdine Imavov gets a takedown 0.98 times per 15 min and Brendan Allen is averaging a takedown 1.74 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Imavov lands 4.58 strikes/min and is connecting on 55% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Brendan Allen, who tags his opponent on 53% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 3.98 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Joanderson Brito is set to go up against William Gomis. Gomis holds a career mark of 13-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter reaches 73". Brito measures in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 17-3-1. The 29-year-old stretches 72". Concerning grappling, William Gomis thwarts 81% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 60% of his attempts. Brito is finishing his takedown tries on 76% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 62% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Gomis takes 1.49 strikes/min while he dishes out 2.62 strikes per minute. Brito, on the other hand, is taking 2.65 strikes/minute and deals 3.35 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Renato Moicano (+220)

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