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Raul Rosas Jr. vs Ricky Turcios Pick, 6/8/2024 Predictions UFC Louisville Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/4/2024

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Ricky Turcios

UFC Louisville

KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY

Saturday, June 8, 2024

Raul Rosas Jr. will enter the Octagon against Ricky Turcios at UFC Louisville on Saturday, June 8, 2024. The line has Jr. priced at -238 while Turcios is at +195.

Raul "El Nino Problema" Rosas Jr. has a record of 8-1-0. The 19-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 67". Ricky Turcios measures in at 5'9" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 13-3-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 71". In the category of significant strikes, Raul Rosas Jr. connects on 1.28 per minute while Ricky Turcios is connecting on 5.08 significant strikes per minute. Rosas Jr. lands 44% of the significant strikes he tries while Turcios is connecting on 37%. When it comes to defending themselves, "El Nino Problema" allows 1.52 significant strikes per min while Turcios takes 3.70. Rosas Jr. also prevents 46% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Turcios is able to defend against 55% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Raul Rosas Jr. ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Louisville Raul Rosas Jr. Ricky Turcios
Opening Odds -238 +195
Record 8-1-0 13-3-0
Average Fight Time 8:25 15:00
Height 5'9" 5'9"
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 67" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.28 5.08
Striking Accuracy 44% 37%

 

In terms of grappling, Raul Rosas Jr. is the more skilled grappler as he is able to score a takedown 3.57 times per 15 min. Rosas Jr. is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of the times he tries and defending 0% of all takedown tries against him. Turcios is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 45% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to sub attempts, Rosas Jr. is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 1.8 subs per 15 min while Turcios attempts 0.2 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Raul Rosas Jr. faced Terrence Mitchell and ended up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Mitchell ended up landing 6 of 19 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Jr. ended the night having landed 19 of 31 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Mitchell landed 6 of 19, giving him a percentage of 31%. He landed 5 of 18 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Jr. landed 60% of his significant strikes by connecting on 18 of 30. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 17 of 29 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Mitchell and 33% of them landed by Jr. were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Ricky Turcios, he fought Kevin Natividad and ended up winning this fight by way of split decision in round 3. Natividad landed 56% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Turcios landed 41% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Turcios ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 68 of 115. He ended up connecting on 65 of 112 significant strikes aimed at the head. Natividad connected on 41 of 81 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 33 of 70 to the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Natividad connected on 61 of 109 and Turcios connected on 170 of 224 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Brunno Ferreira squares up in the Octagon against Dustin Stoltzfus. Ferreira has a career record of 11-1-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Stoltzfus comes in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 15-5-0. The 32-year-old stretches 75". Regarding grappling, Brunno Ferreira gets a takedown 1.25 times per 3 rds and Dustin Stoltzfus is averaging a takedown 2.40 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Ferreira is landing 5.00 strikes per min and is landing 50% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Dustin Stoltzfus, who is connecting on 44% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 3.49 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Zach Reese is set to clash with Julian Marquez. Marquez walks into the cage holding a record of 9-4-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Reese comes in at 6'4" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 6-1-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 77". When it comes to takedowns, Julian Marquez is able to stop 53% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is scoring a takedown on 0% of the times he tries. Reese is finishing his takedowns on 0% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 0% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Marquez is taking 4.99 strikes per minute and he dishes out 4.86 per min. Reese, on the other side, is taking 6.56 strikes/minute and dishes out 3.93 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Raul Rosas Jr. (-238)

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