Raul Rosas Jr. vs Qileng Aori Pick, 9/14/2024 Predictions UFC 306 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/12/2024

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Qileng Aori

UFC 306

The Sphere in Las Vegas

Saturday, September 14, 2024

Raul Rosas Jr. will enter the Octagon against Qileng Aori at UFC 306 on Saturday, September 14, 2024. The moneyline has Jr. coming in at -770 while Aori is priced at +525.

Raul "El Nino Problema" Rosas Jr. comes into this bout with a record of 9-1-0. The 19-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 67". Qileng "The Mongolian Murderer" Aori measures in at 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 25-11-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 69". Regarding significant strikes, Raul Rosas Jr. connects on 1.12 per minute and Qileng Aori is connecting on 5.31 significant strikes per minute. Rosas Jr. lands 43% of the significant strikes he tries and Aori is connecting on 50%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "El Nino Problema" allows 1.41 significant strikes per min and "The Mongolian Murderer" allows 6.03. Rosas Jr. also stops 47% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Aori is able to thwart 47% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Raul Rosas Jr. ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 306	Raul Rosas Jr.	Qileng Aori
Opening Odds	-770	+525
Record	9-1-0	25-11-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	8:12	10:20
Height	5'9"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	67"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	1.12	5.31
Striking Accuracy	43%	50%

In terms of grappling, Raul Rosas Jr. is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 4.39 times per 3 rds. Rosas Jr. is scoring a takedown on 38% of the times he tries and stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Aori is taking his opponents to the canvas on 46% of his takedown tries and is stopping 58% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Rosas Jr. is the more skilled technician by attempting 1.8 finishes per 3 rounds while Aori goes for 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Raul Rosas Jr. went up against Ricky Turcios and wound up taking home the win via rear naked choke in round 2. Turcios landed 64 of 78 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Jr. finished this fight landing 25 of 34 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Turcios landed 7 of 15, giving him a percentage of 46%. He ended up landing 3 of 10 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Jr. landed 33% of his significant strikes by landing 3 of 9. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 2 of 7 to the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Turcios and 66% of them connected on by Jr. were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Qileng Aori, he fought Daniel Marcos and the fight ended in a no contest via low blows to Aoriquileng in round 2. Marcos ended up connecting on 85% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Aori landed 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Aori landed 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 45 of 95. He ended up connecting on 26 of 71 significant strikes to the head. Marcos ended up connecting on 81 of 126 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 50 of 84 to the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Marcos connected on 84 of 129 and Aori ended up connecting on 45 of 96 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Alexa Grasso opposes Valentina Shevchenko. Grasso will be looking to add a win to her career total of 16-3-1. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 66". Shevchenko stands in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a record of 23-4-1. The 36-year-old extends her reach 66". When it comes to grappling, Alexa Grasso gets a takedown 0.41 times per 3 rds and Valentina Shevchenko takes her opponents to the canvas 2.56 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Grasso connects on 4.67 strikes/minute and connects on 43% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Valentina Shevchenko, who connects on 52% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 3.28 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Norma Dumont is set to take on Irene Aldana. Aldana walks into the Octagon with a record of 15-7-0. The 36-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Dumont stands in at 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0. The 33-year-old reaches 67". In terms of grappling, Irene Aldana is stopping 76% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 50% of her tries. Dumont is taking her opponents to the mat on 68% of the attempts she tries and deflects 72% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Aldana takes 6.33 strikes per minute and she is dealing 5.24 strikes/min. Dumont, on the contrary, takes 1.89 strikes/min and dishes out 3.11 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Raul Rosas Jr. (-770)

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Raul Rosas Jr. vs Qileng Aori Pick, 9/14/2024 Predictions UFC 306 Odds

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