Raquel Pennington vs Julianna Pena Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

Raquel Pennington vs Julianna Pena

UFC 307

Delta Center in Salt Lake City

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Raquel Pennington will enter the Octagon with Julianna Pena at UFC 307 on Saturday, October 5, 2024. The opener has Pennington priced at -170 while Pena is at +142.

Raquel "Rocky" Pennington walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-9-0. The 36-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs. and comes in at 5' 7". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Julianna "The Venezuelan Vixen" Pena stands 5' 6" and is fighting at 135 lbs.. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 12-5-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 69". In the category of significant strikes, Raquel Pennington lands 4.14 per min while Julianna Pena is landing 3.16 significant strikes per min. Pennington is connecting on 52% of the significant strikes she attempts and Pena lands 47%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Rocky" allows 3.29 significant strikes per minute while "The Venezuelan Vixen" allows 2.30. Pennington also curbs 60% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Pena defends against 50% of the shots thrown in her direction.

When it comes to grappling, Raquel Pennington is the lesser skilled wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.90 times per 3 rounds. Pennington is getting her opponent to the mat on 27% of the times she tries and is stopping 63% of the takedowns her opponents try. Pena is scoring a takedown on 55% of the takedowns she tries and defending 23% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Pennington is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.7 subs per 3 rounds while Pena goes for 0.8 subs per 15 minutes.

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In her previous fight, Raquel Pennington squared up with Mayra Bueno Silva and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 5. Silva landed 96 of 118 total strikes attempted in that contest. Pennington finished this fight landing 265 of 342 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Silva landed 69 of 88, which gave her a rate of 78%. She finished the fight landing 32 of 44 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Pennington landed 66% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 134 of 201. Out of those significant strikes, she landed 91 of 156 pointed at the head. 40% of the significant strikes landed by Silva and 40% of them landed by Pennington were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Julianna Pena, she squared up with Amanda Nunes and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 5. Nunes landed 67% of her significant strikes at distance and Pena ended up connecting on 98% of her significant strikes at distance. Pena connected on 38% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 60 of 154. She connected on 54 of 144 significant strikes directed at the head. Nunes ended up landing 85 of 152 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 67 of 128 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes that she let go in that contest, Nunes landed 126 of 201 and Pena was 130 of 239 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Ketlen Vieira squares up against Kayla Harrison. Vieira walks into the cage with a record of 14-3-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 135 lbs. and measures 5' 8". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 68". Harrison measures 5' 8" and will fight at 135 lbs.. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 17-1-0. The 34-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding grappling, Ketlen Vieira gets a takedown 1.51 times per 3 rounds and Kayla Harrison takes her opponents to the mat 4.42 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Vieira is landing 3.04 strikes/min and is connecting on 41% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Kayla Harrison, who connects on 71% of the strikes she has thrown and is connecting on 7.52 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Iasmin Lucindo is set to square up with Marina Rodriguez. Rodriguez looks to add a win to her record of 17-4-2. The 37-year-old will fight at 115 lbs. and stands in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Lucindo measures in at 5' 3" and records a weight of 115 lbs.. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 16-5-0. The 22-year-old stretches 66". In the category of takedowns, Marina Rodriguez is able to thwart 65% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 42% of the times she tries. Lucindo is taking her opponents to the mat on 53% of her tries and stops 80% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, Rodriguez is absorbing 3.12 strikes per minute while she is dealing 4.82 strikes per minute. Lucindo, on the other side, absorbs 3.11 strikes per min and dishes out 3.95 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Raquel Pennington (-170)

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