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Phil Rowe vs Jake Matthews Pick, 6/1/2024 Predictions UFC 302 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/28/2024

Phil Rowe vs Jake Matthews

UFC 302

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, June 1, 2024

Phil Rowe will face off with Jake Matthews at UFC 302 on Saturday, June 1, 2024. The opener has Rowe priced at +136 while Matthews is coming in at -162.

Phil "The Fresh Prince" Rowe steps into the Octagon with a mark of 10-4-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Jake "The Celtic Kid" Matthews comes in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 19-7-0. The 29-year-old reaches 73". Concerning significant strikes, Phil Rowe lands 3.94 per min while Jake Matthews lands 3.30 significant strikes per min. Rowe is connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he throws while Matthews is connecting on 45%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Fresh Prince" allows 4.32 significant strikes per minute and "The Celtic Kid" allows 2.56. Rowe also defends against 54% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Matthews stops 60% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Phil Rowe ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 302 Phil Rowe Jake Matthews
Opening Odds +136 -162
Record 10-4-0 19-7-0
Average Fight Time 11:43 11:23
Height 6'3" 5'11"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 80" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.94 3.30
Striking Accuracy 52% 45%

 

When it comes to grappling, Phil Rowe is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.85 times per 15 minutes. Rowe is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his attempts and defending 59% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Matthews is taking his opponents down on 40% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 62% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submission attempts, Rowe is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.4 finishes per 15 min while Matthews attempts 0.6 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Phil Rowe squared up with Neil Magny and wound up losing the fight by way of split decision in round 3. Magny ended up landing 109 of 159 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Rowe walked away from this fight having landed 51 of 86 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Magny ended up landing 29 of 65, which means his percentage was 44%. He finished the fight landing 23 of 57 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Rowe ended up landing 53% of his significant strikes by connecting on 34 of 64. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 17 of 43 aimed at the head. 58% of the significant strikes landed by Magny and 94% of them connected on by Rowe were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Jake Matthews, he battled Michael Morales and walked away with a loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Morales landed 95% of his significant strikes at distance and Matthews ended up connecting on 94% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Matthews landed 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 57 of 149. He ended up connecting on 33 of 109 significant strikes aimed at the head. Morales connected on 84 of 208 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 45 of 157 aimed at the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Morales ended up landing 84 of 208 while Matthews connected on 57 of 149 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Niko Price faces off with Alex Morono. Price holds a career mark of 15-7-0 (2 NC). The 34-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Morono measures in at 5'11" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 24-9-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". When it comes to grappling, Niko Price is averaging a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes and Alex Morono scores a takedown 0.32 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Price connects on 5.46 strikes/minute and is connecting on 42% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Alex Morono, who is landing 40% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 4.87 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Bassil Hafez is set to face off with Mickey Gall. Gall has a record of 7-5-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The switch fighter has an arm span of 74". Hafez stands 5'11" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 8-3-1. The 32-year-old stretches 72". In terms of wrestling, Mickey Gall is able to thwart 36% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of his tries. Hafez is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Gall takes 4.25 strikes/minute and he deals 2.94 per min. Hafez, notwithstanding, is absorbing 5.53 strikes per min and dishes out 2.13 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Jake Matthews (-162)

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