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Nikolas Motta vs Tom Nolan Pick, 1/13/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 84 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/8/2024

Nikolas Motta vs Tom Nolan

UFC Vegas 84

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, January 13, 2024

Nikolas Motta will enter the Octagon against Tom Nolan at UFC Vegas 84 on . The odds have Motta at +240 while Nolan is priced at -298.

Nikolas "Iron" Motta walks into the cage holding a record of 13-5-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Tom "Big Train" Nolan comes in at 6'3" and will fight at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 6-0-0. The 23-year-old stretches 73". In the category of significant strikes, Nikolas Motta is landing 2.65 per min while Tom Nolan is landing 9.40 significant strikes per min. Motta is landing 30% of the significant strikes he attempts while Nolan is connecting on 54%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Iron" absorbs 4.61 significant strikes per minute and "Big Train" takes 1.45. Motta also stops 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Nolan is able to curb 50% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Nikolas Motta predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 84 Nikolas Motta Tom Nolan
Opening Odds +240 -298
Record 13-5-0 (1 NC) 6-0-0
Average Fight Time 8:10 1:23
Height 5'9" 6'3"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 70" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.65 9.40
Striking Accuracy 30% 54%

 

Concerning takedowns, Nikolas Motta is the better grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.80 times per 15 min. Motta is scoring a takedown on 15% of his tries and defending 82% of all takedown attempts. Nolan is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of submission attempts, Motta is the more apt fighter by going for 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes while Nolan goes for 0.4 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Nikolas Motta squared up with Trey Ogden and the fight ended in a no contest by way of an arm triangle from Ogden that was overturned in round 3. Ogden landed 96 of 128 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Motta finished this fight landing 16 of 82 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Ogden ended up landing 58 of 83, giving him a percentage of 69%. He landed 49 of 74 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Motta landed 17% of his significant strikes by connecting on 14 of 80. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 8 of 73 to the head. 75% of the significant strikes landed by Ogden and 100% of them landed by Motta were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Tom Nolan, he squared up with Bogdan Grad and ended up getting the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Grad ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Nolan ended up landing 69% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Nolan ended up connecting on 54% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 13 of 24. He ended up connecting on 7 of 17 significant strikes aimed at the head. Grad landed 2 of 4 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 1 of 3 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Grad landed 2 of 4 while Nolan landed 16 of 27 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Magomed Ankalaev meets Johnny Walker. Ankalaev will be looking to add a win to his career total of 18-1-1 (1 NC). The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Walker stands 6'6" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 21-7-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old has an arm span of 82". In the grappling category, Magomed Ankalaev scores a takedown 1.07 times per 3 rds while Johnny Walker gets a takedown 0.50 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Ankalaev lands an average of 3.56 strikes/min and is connecting on 52% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Johnny Walker, who connects on 56% of his attempted strikes and lands 3.87 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Manel Kape is set to square up in the Octagon with Matheus Nicolau. Nicolau has a record of 19-4-1. The 31-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 66". Kape comes in at 5'5" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 19-6-0. The 30-year-old reaches 68". Regarding takedowns, Matheus Nicolau prevents 93% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 45% of his attempts. Kape is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 77% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Nicolau is absorbing 3.14 strikes/min and he lands 3.66 strikes/min. Kape, on the other hand, is taking 4.51 strikes/minute and deals 5.12 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Nikolas Motta (+240)

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