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Neil Magny vs Carlos Prates Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/6/2024

Neil Magny vs Carlos Prates

UFC Vegas 100

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 9, 2024

Neil Magny will enter the Octagon with Carlos Prates at UFC Vegas 100 on Saturday, November 9, 2024. The odds have Magny priced at +550 while Prates is at -800.

Neil "The Haitian Sensation" Magny looks to add a win to his career total of 29-13-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Carlos "The Nightmare" Prates stands 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 20-6-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 78". When talking about significant strikes, Neil Magny lands 3.44 per minute while Carlos Prates is connecting on 4.71 significant strikes per min. Magny connects on 46% of the significant strikes he tries and Prates is connecting on 57%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Haitian Sensation" absorbs 2.48 significant strikes per min and "The Nightmare" absorbs 5.02. Magny also thwarts 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Prates thwarts 48% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Neil Magny ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 100 Neil Magny Carlos Prates
Opening Odds +550 -800
Record 29-13-0 20-6-0
Average Fight Time 12:29 7:17
Height 6'3" 6'1"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 80" 78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.44 4.71
Striking Accuracy 46% 57%

Regarding grappling, Neil Magny is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.15 times per 15 min. Magny is getting his opponent to the mat on 40% of his attempts and is defending 54% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Prates is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 80% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Magny is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.2 subs per 15 min while Prates attempts 0.8 subs per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Neil Magny went up against Michael Morales and was on the losing end of this fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Morales ended up landing 39 of 45 total strikes attempted in that fight. Magny ended the night having landed 13 of 19 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Morales landed 34 of 40, which gave him a rate of 85%. He finished the fight landing 30 of 35 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Magny landed 45% of his significant strikes by sticking 5 of 11. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 7 to the head. 11% of the significant strikes connected on by Morales and 60% of them landed by Magny were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Carlos Prates, he squared up with Li Jingliang and ended up getting the victory by a punch to the head in round 2. Jingliang ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Prates landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Prates connected on 65% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 55 of 84. He connected on 44 of 70 significant strikes aimed at the head. Jingliang connected on 41 of 111 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 12 of 64 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that contest, Jingliang landed 41 of 111 and Prates landed 55 of 84 total strikes.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Cody Garbrandt squares up in the Octagon against Miles Johns. Garbrandt has a mark of 14-6-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Johns comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 15-2-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old reaches 66". Regarding grappling, Cody Garbrandt takes his opponents to the mat 1.03 times per 15 min while Miles Johns takes his opponents down 0.90 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Garbrandt lands 2.98 strikes/min and is connecting on 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Miles Johns, who tags the opposition on 47% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 3.28 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Benardo Sopaj is set to fight Ricky Turcios. Turcios looks to add a win to his career record of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Sopaj stands in at 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 11-2-0. The 24-year-old extends his reach 66". Regarding wrestling, Ricky Turcios is able to curb 45% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 25% of his tries. Sopaj is finishing his takedowns on 75% of his attempts and is able to stop 50% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Turcios is taking 3.34 strikes per minute and he dishes out 4.63 strikes/minute. Sopaj, on the other hand, is absorbing 4.56 strikes/min and is landing 3.06 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Neil Magny (+550)

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