Muhammad Mokaev vs Manel Kape Pick, 7/27/2024 Predictions UFC 304 Odds

Muhammad Mokaev vs Manel Kape

UFC 304

Co-op Live in Manchester, England

Saturday, July 27, 2024

Muhammad Mokaev will enter the Octagon against Manel Kape at UFC 304 on Saturday, July 27, 2024. The opening line has Mokaev coming in at -142 while Kape is coming in at +120.

Muhammad "The Punisher" Mokaev steps into the cage holding a record of 12-0-0 (1 NC). The 23-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Manel "StarBoy" Kape stands in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 19-6-0. The 30-year-old reaches 68". Regarding significant strikes, Muhammad Mokaev is landing 1.53 per minute and Manel Kape connects on 5.12 significant strikes per minute. Mokaev is landing 48% of the significant strikes he attempts and Kape is landing 54%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Punisher" allows 1.36 significant strikes per minute while "StarBoy" allows 4.51. Mokaev also defends 57% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Kape thwarts 59% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Concerning takedowns, Muhammad Mokaev is the more apt wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 5.75 times per 15 min. Mokaev is getting his opponent to the mat on 41% of his attempts and is stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. Kape is taking his opponents to the canvas on 37% of his takedown tries and is stopping 77% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submissions, Mokaev is the more capable fighter by attempting 1.0 sub per 15 minutes while Kape looks to get 0.4 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Muhammad Mokaev squared up with Alex Perez and ended up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Perez landed 47 of 114 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Mokaev finished this fight landing 56 of 119 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Perez ended up landing 30 of 87, giving him a percentage of 34%. He finished the fight landing 22 of 73 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Mokaev landed 45% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 47 of 104. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 34 of 85 aimed at the head. 63% of the significant strikes landed by Perez and 65% of them landed by Mokaev were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Manel Kape, he faced off with Felipe dos Santos and ended up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Santos connected on 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Kape connected on 82% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Kape connected on 61% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 112 of 182. He connected on 77 of 137 significant strikes to the head. Santos connected on 99 of 304 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 53 of 215 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go, Santos landed 101 of 310 while Kape connected on 116 of 186 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Arnold Allen squares up with Giga Chikadze. Allen has a record of 19-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Chikadze stands in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 15-3-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 74". When it comes to grappling, Arnold Allen scores a takedown 1.02 times per 3 rounds while Giga Chikadze gets a takedown 0.23 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Allen tags his opponents 3.39 strikes/min and is landing 40% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Giga Chikadze, who lands 43% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 4.08 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Daniel Pineda is set to encounter Nathaniel Wood. Wood will be looking to add a victory to his record of 19-6-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 69". Pineda stands in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 28-15-0 (3 NC). The 38-year-old has a reach of 69". When it comes to takedowns, Nathaniel Wood defends against 70% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 48% of his attempts. Pineda is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 48% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Wood absorbs 4.22 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 5.91 strikes per minute. Pineda, on the other side, takes 3.18 strikes per minute and is dishing out 3.09 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Manel Kape (+120)

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