Morgan Charriere vs Gabriel Miranda Pick, 9/28/2024 Predictions UFC Paris Odds
Morgan Charriere vs Gabriel Miranda
UFC Paris
Accor Arena in Paris, France
Saturday, September 28, 2024
Morgan Charriere will face off with Gabriel Miranda at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 28, 2024. The line has Charriere priced at -600 while Miranda is priced at +440.
Morgan "The Last Pirate" Charriere walks into the cage with a record of 19-10-1. The 28-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Gabriel "Fly" Miranda stands in at 5'11" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 17-6-0. The 34-year-old stretches 71". Regarding significant strikes, Morgan Charriere is connecting on 3.98 per minute while Gabriel Miranda is connecting on 3.52 significant strikes per min. Charriere is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Miranda lands 51%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Last Pirate" allows 4.24 significant strikes per minute while "Fly" absorbs 6.88. Charriere also stops 55% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Miranda curbs 39% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Paris | Morgan Charriere | Gabriel Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -600 | +440 |
| Record | 19-10-1 | 17-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:26 | 3:08 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'11" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 69" | 71" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.98 | 3.52 |
| Striking Accuracy | 49% | 51% |
Regarding takedowns, Morgan Charriere is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.59 times per 3 rds. Charriere is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of the times he tries and is defending 87% of all takedowns attempted on him. Miranda is scoring a takedown on 40% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submissions, Charriere is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.8 finishes per 15 min while Miranda tries 2.4 finishes per 3 rounds.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Morgan Charriere faced Chepe Mariscal and ended up losing the fight by way of split decision in round 3. Mariscal landed 121 of 199 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Charriere walked away from this fight having landed 75 of 139 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Mariscal landed 71 of 137, giving him a percentage of 51%. He ended up landing 42 of 94 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Charriere landed 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 49 of 104. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 30 of 83 pointed at the head. 70% of the significant strikes landed by Mariscal and 91% of them connected on by Charriere were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Gabriel Miranda, he squared up with Shane Young and ended up winning this fight by rear naked choke in round 1. Young connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Miranda ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Miranda landed 33% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 2 of 6. He connected on 0 of 2 significant strikes aimed at the head. Young landed 1 of 4 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 0 of 2 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Young ended up landing 1 of 4 and Miranda ended up landing 2 of 6 total strikes.
Other fights on the card to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Fares Ziam goes up against Matt Frevola. Ziam steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-4-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Frevola stands in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 11-4-1. The 34-year-old extends his reach 71". Regarding grappling, Fares Ziam is able to score a takedown 0.81 times per 3 rounds while Matt Frevola is averaging a takedown 2.59 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Ziam connects for an average of 2.70 strikes/min and connects on 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Matt Frevola, who tags the opposition on 42% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 3.71 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Da Woon Jung is set to face off against Oumar Sy. Sy comes into this fight holding a mark of 10-0-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 83". Woon Jung stands in at 6'4" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 15-5-1. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 78". Regarding wrestling, Oumar Sy is able to thwart 15% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is scoring a takedown on 66% of his attempts. Woon Jung is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 77% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Sy is taking 0.81 strikes per min while he deals 0.00 per min. Woon Jung, on the other hand, is taking 3.89 strikes per minute and connects on 3.49 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Morgan Charriere (-600)
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