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Mohammed Usman vs Thomas Petersen Pick, 7/20/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 94 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/16/2024

Mohammed Usman vs Thomas Petersen

UFC Vegas 94

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Mohammed Usman will face off with Thomas Petersen at UFC Vegas 94 on Saturday, July 20, 2024. The opening line has Usman priced at -148 while Petersen is coming in at +124.

Mohammed "The Motor" Usman looks to add a victory to his career record of 11-3-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 239 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 79". Thomas "The Train" Petersen stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 264 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 74". When talking about significant strikes, Mohammed Usman is landing 3.18 per min while Thomas Petersen is landing 3.79 significant strikes per min. Usman is landing 37% of the significant strikes he tries while Petersen connects on 68%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Motor" absorbs 4.21 significant strikes per min and "The Train" allows 3.79. Usman also curbs 52% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Petersen is able to stop 46% of them.

ufc picks Mohammed Usman ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 94 Mohammed Usman Thomas Petersen
Opening Odds -148 +124
Record 11-3-0 8-2-0
Average Fight Time 12:39 10:34
Height 6'2" 6'1"
Weight 239 lbs 264 lbs
Reach 79" 74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.18 3.79
Striking Accuracy 37% 68%

In the grappling category, Mohammed Usman is the not as competent as a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.89 times per 3 rds. Usman is getting his opponent to the mat on 18% of his attempts and is defending 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Petersen is taking his opponents down on 44% of his takedown tries and stopping 85% of the attempts against him. When it comes to sub attempts, Usman is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Petersen attempts 0.7 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Mohammed Usman faced Mick Parkin and took a loss on the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Parkin ended up landing 72 of 150 total strikes that he let go. Usman walked away from this fight having landed 57 of 168 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Parkin ended up landing 72 of 150, giving him a percentage of 48%. He finished the fight landing 37 of 109 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Usman landed 34% of his significant strikes by landing 57 of 167. Of those significant strikes, he was 26 of 114 to the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Parkin and 100% of them connected on by Usman were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Thomas Petersen, he battled Jamal Pogues and walked away with a loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Pogues connected on 86% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Petersen connected on 93% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Petersen landed 67% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 58 of 86. He ended up landing 26 of 50 significant strikes directed at the head. Pogues ended up connecting on 65 of 124 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 43 of 94 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Pogues was 66 of 125 while Petersen landed 116 of 153 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Amanda Lemos squares up against Virna Jandiroba. Lemos will be looking to add a win to her career record of 14-3-1. The 37-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and measures in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 65". Jandiroba stands in at 5'3" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 20-3-0. The 36-year-old stretches 64". When it comes to grappling, Amanda Lemos gets a takedown 0.98 times per 3 rds while Virna Jandiroba takes her opponents to the mat 2.36 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Lemos connects for an average of 3.43 strikes/min and lands 54% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Virna Jandiroba, who lands 38% of the strikes she attempts and connects for an average of 2.30 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Dione Barbosa is set to face off with Miranda Maverick. Maverick walks into the cage with a mark of 15-5-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'3". The southpaw fighter reaches 65". Barbosa comes in at 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her record of 7-2-0. The 32-year-old stretches 66". Regarding takedowns, Miranda Maverick defends against 40% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 46% of the times she tries. Barbosa is taking her opponents to the mat on 25% of the attempts she tries and stops 15% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Maverick takes 2.60 strikes per min while she is dealing 3.80 strikes per min. Barbosa, in contrast, absorbs 2.86 strikes/minute and is connecting on 2.20 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mohammed Usman (-148)

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