Mohammed Usman vs Mick Parkin Pick, 3/23/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 89 Odds

Mohammed Usman vs Mick Parkin

UFC Vegas 89

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 23, 2024

Mohammed Usman will enter the Octagon against Mick Parkin at UFC Vegas 89 on Saturday, March 23, 2024. The opening line has Usman coming in at +130 while Parkin is priced at -155.

Mohammed "The Motor" Usman walks into the cage with a record of 11-2-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 239 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 79". Mick Parkin stands in at 6'4" and weighs in at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 8-0-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 79". In the category of significant strikes, Mohammed Usman lands 2.92 per minute and Mick Parkin lands 4.41 significant strikes per min. Usman lands 40% of the significant strikes he tries while Parkin connects on 52%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Motor" allows 3.96 significant strikes per min and Parkin absorbs 4.01. Usman also defends against 52% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Parkin is able to deflect 55% of the strikes thrown his way.

In terms of grappling, Mohammed Usman is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.26 times per 3 rds. Usman is scoring a takedown on 18% of his tries and is stopping 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Parkin is getting his opponent to the mat on 41% of his takedown tries and defending 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Usman is the more skilled fighter by going for 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes while Parkin goes for 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Mohammed Usman faced Jake Collier and wound up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Collier landed 100 of 198 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Usman finished this fight landing 118 of 234 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Collier ended up landing 87 of 183, which gave him a rate of 47%. He ended up landing 53 of 145 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Usman ended up landing 44% of his significant strikes by landing 85 of 191. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 58 of 156 pointed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes landed by Collier and 97% of them connected on by Usman were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Mick Parkin, he faced off with Caio Machado and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Machado connected on 89% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Parkin landed 87% of his significant strikes at distance. Parkin connected on 39% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 39 of 98. He connected on 33 of 91 significant strikes directed at the head. Machado ended up connecting on 76 of 132 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 41 of 95 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Machado was 103 of 164 and Parkin connected on 69 of 139 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Amanda Ribas encounters Rose Namajunas. Ribas walks into the cage holding a record of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Namajunas stands in at 5'5" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her record of 12-6-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 65". In the grappling category, Amanda Ribas is able to score a takedown 1.99 times per 15 min while Rose Namajunas takes her opponents to the canvas 1.49 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Ribas connects on 4.92 strikes per minute and lands 42% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have Rose Namajunas, who is landing 40% of the strikes she has attempted and connects for an average of 3.68 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Justin Tafa is set to enter the Octagon with Karl Williams. Williams has a career record of 9-1-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 235 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 79". Tafa stands 6'0" and steps on the scale at 264 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 7-3-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In terms of grappling, Karl Williams curbs 85% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 46% of his tries. Tafa is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 85% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Williams absorbs 1.80 strikes per minute and he connects on 2.93 per min. Tafa, on the other hand, is absorbing 5.93 strikes per min and is connecting on 5.13 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Mohammed Usman (+130)

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