Mohammad Yahya vs Kaue Fernandes Pick, 8/3/2024 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

Mohammad Yahya vs Kaue Fernandes

UFC Abu Dhabi

Etihad Arena, Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, August 3, 2024

Mohammad Yahya will battle Kaue Fernandes at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, August 3, 2024. The moneyline has Yahya at +300 while Fernandes is at -380.

Mohammad "The UAE Warrior" Yahya has a mark of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter has an arm span of 73". Kaue Fernandes measures in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old stretches 73". In terms of significant strikes, Mohammad Yahya connects on 2.87 per min while Kaue Fernandes connects on 1.53 significant strikes per min. Yahya is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he tries while Fernandes lands 54%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The UAE Warrior" takes 4.07 significant strikes per minute while Fernandes takes 0.87. Yahya also defends against 37% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Fernandes is able to deflect 59% of the shots thrown.

In terms of wrestling, Mohammad Yahya is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.40 times per 3 rounds. Yahya is getting his opponent to the mat on 85% of the times he tries and is defending 42% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Fernandes is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 62% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Yahya is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 1.0 sub per 3 rds while Fernandes attempts 0.5 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Mohammad Yahya went up against Trevor Peek and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Peek landed 83 of 123 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Yahya walked away from this fight having landed 47 of 96 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Peek ended up landing 61 of 97, which gave him a percentage of 62%. He finished the fight landing 32 of 61 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Yahya ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes by landing 43 of 92. Of those significant strikes, he was 28 of 70 aimed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes connected on by Peek and 95% of them landed by Yahya were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Kaue Fernandes, he battled Marc Diakiese and walked away with a loss via split decision in round 3. Diakiese connected on 53% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Fernandes ended up landing 91% of his significant strikes at distance. Fernandes ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 23 of 42. He landed 6 of 20 significant strikes aimed at the head. Diakiese connected on 13 of 32 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 11 of 26 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Diakiese ended up landing 65 of 92 while Fernandes connected on 67 of 92 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Shamil Gaziev squares up with Don'Tale Mayes. Gaziev looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-1-0. The 34-year-old weighs 265 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Mayes stands 6'6" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 11-6-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old stretches 81". In terms of takedowns, Shamil Gaziev gets his opposition to the mat 0.53 times per 3 rounds while Don'Tale Mayes gets a takedown 0.71 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Gaziev lands 2.63 strikes per min and lands 44% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Don'Tale Mayes, who tags the opposition on 43% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 3.69 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Rolando Bedoya is set to square up with Jai Herbert. Herbert looks to add a victory to his career total of 12-5-1. The 36-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 77". Bedoya stands 5'11" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-3-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 74". In the category of takedowns, Jai Herbert is able to curb 57% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents down on 10% of his attempts. Bedoya is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Herbert absorbs 3.15 strikes per min while he is connecting on 2.69 per minute. Bedoya, moreover, absorbs 6.83 strikes/min and dishes out 8.70 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mohammad Yahya (+300)

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