Modestas Bukauskas vs Marcin Prachnio Pick, 7/27/2024 Predictions UFC 304 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/23/2024

Modestas Bukauskas vs Marcin Prachnio

UFC 304

Co-op Live in Manchester, England

Saturday, July 27, 2024

Modestas Bukauskas will take on Marcin Prachnio at UFC 304 on Saturday, July 27, 2024. The line has Bukauskas at -166 while Prachnio is priced at +140.

Modestas "The Baltic Gladiator" Bukauskas holds a record of 15-6-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The switch fighter stretches 78". Marcin Prachnio stands in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 17-7-0. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 74". When talking about significant strikes, Modestas Bukauskas is connecting on 3.28 per minute and Marcin Prachnio connects on 5.61 significant strikes per minute. Bukauskas lands 41% of the significant strikes he throws and Prachnio is connecting on 55%. Regarding defense, "The Baltic Gladiator" takes 3.87 significant strikes per min and Prachnio allows 3.30. Bukauskas also thwarts 50% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Prachnio is able to stop 54% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Modestas Bukauskas ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 304	Modestas Bukauskas	Marcin Prachnio
Opening Odds	-166	+140
Record	15-6-0	17-7-0
Average Fight Time	9:22	9:56
Height	6'3"	6'3"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	78"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.28	5.61
Striking Accuracy	41%	55%

Regarding wrestling, Modestas Bukauskas is the better wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min. Bukauskas is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his tries and is defending 71% of all takedowns attempted on him. Prachnio is finishing his takedown attempts on 20% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 58% of the tries against him. Regarding sub attempts, Bukauskas is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.5 subs per 15 min while Prachnio attempts 0.8 subs per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Modestas Bukauskas squared up with Vitor Petrino and walked away in defeat by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Petrino landed 14 of 34 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Bukauskas walked away from this fight having landed 12 of 23 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Petrino landed 8 of 26, which gave him a rate of 30%. He ended up landing 6 of 23 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Bukauskas landed 47% of his significant strikes by landing 9 of 19. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 5 of 14 pointed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Petrino and 100% of them landed by Bukauskas were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Marcin Prachnio, he battled Devin Clark and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Clark landed 92% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Prachnio ended up landing 77% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Prachnio ended up landing 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 101 of 189. He landed 42 of 113 significant strikes to the head. Clark ended up landing 53 of 127 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 36 of 106 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Clark ended up connecting on 53 of 127 while Prachnio was 112 of 204 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Molly McCann meets Bruna Brasil. McCann steps into the cage with a mark of 14-6-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Brasil stands in at 5'6" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her total of 9-4-1. The 30-year-old reaches 65". In terms of takedowns, Molly McCann is able to score a takedown 1.82 times per 3 rds while Bruna Brasil takes her opponents to the canvas 1.59 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, McCann connects for an average of 5.79 strikes/min and landing 49% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Bruna Brasil, who connects on 62% of the strikes she has thrown and connects on 2.94 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Ravena Oliveira is set to enter the Octagon against Shauna Bannon. Bannon comes into this fight holding a mark of 5-1-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and measures 5'5". The switch fighter stretches 65". Oliveira measures in at 5'5" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 7-2-1. The 27-year-old extends her reach 65". Regarding wrestling, Shauna Bannon is able to deflect 33% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 15% of her tries. Oliveira is taking her opponents to the mat on 66% of the tries she takes and is able to stop 62% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Bannon is taking 3.73 strikes per min while she is dealing 3.60 per min. Oliveira, on the contrary, takes 1.20 strikes per minute and lands 1.00 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Marcin Prachnio (+140)

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Modestas Bukauskas vs Marcin Prachnio Pick, 7/27/2024 Predictions UFC 304 Odds

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