Miguel Baeza vs Punahele Soriano Pick, 6/8/2024 Predictions UFC Louisville Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/4/2024

Miguel Baeza vs Punahele Soriano

UFC Louisville

KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY

Saturday, June 8, 2024

Miguel Baeza will take on Punahele Soriano at UFC Louisville on Saturday, June 8, 2024. The moneyline has Baeza priced at -185 while Soriano is at +154.

Miguel "Caramel Thunder" Baeza walks into the cage holding a record of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 74". Punahele "Puna" Soriano stands in at 5'11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a mark of 9-4-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding significant strikes, Miguel Baeza is landing 4.88 per min and Punahele Soriano is landing 3.96 significant strikes per min. Baeza connects on 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Soriano is landing 45%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Caramel Thunder" absorbs 5.10 significant strikes per min while "Puna" takes 4.55. Baeza also deflects 53% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Soriano is able to thwart 48% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Miguel Baeza ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Louisville	Miguel Baeza	Punahele Soriano
Opening Odds	-185	+154
Record	10-3-0	9-4-0
Average Fight Time	9:43	9:30
Height	6'2"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	74"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.88	3.96
Striking Accuracy	49%	45%

In the wrestling category, Miguel Baeza is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.44 times per 3 rds. Baeza is getting his opponent to the mat on 28% of his tries and stopping 100% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Soriano is finishing his takedowns on 40% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 33% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the sub, Baeza is the more skilled technician by going for 1.8 finishes per 15 minutes while Soriano tries 0.8 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his previous bout, Miguel Baeza fought Andre Fialho and was defeated by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Fialho landed 32 of 56 total strikes attempted in that contest. Baeza ended the night having landed 24 of 58 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Fialho ended up landing 32 of 56, which gave him a rate of 57%. He ended up landing 19 of 41 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Baeza landed 41% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 24 of 58. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 15 of 48 pointed at the head. 78% of the significant strikes landed by Fialho and 100% of them landed by Baeza were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Punahele Soriano, he faced off with Dustin Stoltzfus and walked away with a loss by rear naked choke in round 2. Stoltzfus ended up landing 93% of his significant strikes at distance and Soriano ended up landing 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Soriano ended up landing 42% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 31 of 73. He ended up connecting on 18 of 56 significant strikes to the head. Stoltzfus ended up connecting on 64 of 123 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 24 of 79 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Stoltzfus ended up connecting on 78 of 140 and Soriano landed 33 of 76 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Thiago Moises meets Ludovit Klein. Moises has a mark of 18-7-0. The 29-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Klein stands in at 5'7" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 21-4-1. The 29-year-old has a reach of 72". Regarding grappling, Thiago Moises takes his opponents down 1.64 times per 15 minutes and Ludovit Klein is able to score a takedown 1.77 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Moises lands 2.47 strikes/min and is connecting on 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Ludovit Klein, who connects on 55% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 3.96 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Carlos Prates is set to square up against Charles Radtke. Radtke holds a career mark of 9-3-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Prates stands 6'1" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a record of 18-6-0. The 30-year-old reaches 78". Regarding wrestling, Charles Radtke prevents 100% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 16% of his attempts. Prates is taking his opponents down on 0% of his tries and thwarts 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Radtke takes 3.03 strikes/min and he dishes out 3.29 per min. Prates, at the same time, is taking 5.95 strikes per minute and is dishing out 4.38 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Punahele Soriano (+154)

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Miguel Baeza vs Punahele Soriano Pick, 6/8/2024 Predictions UFC Louisville Odds

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