Mick Parkin vs Lukasz Brzeski Pick, 7/27/2024 Predictions UFC 304 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/23/2024

Mick Parkin vs Lukasz Brzeski

UFC 304

Co-op Live in Manchester, England

Saturday, July 27, 2024

Mick Parkin will enter the Octagon against Lukasz Brzeski at UFC 304 on Saturday, July 27, 2024. The opening moneyline has Parkin priced at -278 while Brzeski is priced at +225.

Mick Parkin looks to add a victory to his record of 9-0-0. The 28-year-old weighs 265 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Lukasz "The Bull" Brzeski stands in at 6'4" and is fighting at 236 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 9-4-1 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has an arm span of 78". Regarding significant strikes, Mick Parkin lands 4.54 per min and Lukasz Brzeski connects on 4.78 significant strikes per minute. Parkin is connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he attempts while Brzeski is landing 49%. In terms of defending themselves, Parkin takes 3.94 significant strikes per min while "The Bull" allows 3.15. Parkin also thwarts 59% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Brzeski stops 56% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Lukasz Brzeski ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 304	Mick Parkin	Lukasz Brzeski
Opening Odds	-278	+225
Record	9-0-0	9-4-1 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	11:44	12:22
Height	6'4"	6'4"
Weight	265 lbs	236 lbs
Reach	79"	78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.54	4.78
Striking Accuracy	51%	49%

Regarding wrestling, Mick Parkin is the more efficient wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.60 times per 3 rds. Parkin is scoring a takedown on 41% of the times he tries and stopping 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Brzeski is taking his opponents down on 50% of his takedown tries and defending 36% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Parkin is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.3 subs per 3 rds while Brzeski goes for 0.5 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Mick Parkin fought Mohammed Usman and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Usman landed 57 of 168 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Parkin walked away from this fight having landed 72 of 150 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Usman landed 57 of 167, which gave him a percentage of 34%. He finished the fight landing 26 of 114 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Parkin landed 48% of his significant strikes by landing 72 of 150. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 37 of 109 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Usman and 98% of them connected on by Parkin were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Lukasz Brzeski, he fought Valter Walker and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Walker ended up connecting on 69% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Brzeski landed 94% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Brzeski ended up landing 56% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 58 of 102. He landed 27 of 70 significant strikes directed at the head. Walker ended up landing 33 of 67 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 19 of 50 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Walker connected on 56 of 101 while Brzeski was 135 of 200 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Oban Elliott enters the Octagon with Preston Parsons. Elliott walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-2-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Parsons stands 5'11" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 11-4-0. The 29-year-old stretches 71". Regarding grappling, Oban Elliott gets a takedown 3.50 times per 3 rds and Preston Parsons takes his opponents to the canvas 4.30 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Elliott is landing 4.27 strikes per minute and landing 53% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Preston Parsons, who tags his opponent on 55% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 3.83 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Gregory Rodrigues is set to square up with Christian Leroy Duncan. Leroy Duncan will be looking to add a win to his career record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The switch fighter stretches 79". Rodrigues comes in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 15-5-0. The 32-year-old stretches 75". In terms of grappling, Christian Leroy Duncan deflects 50% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 14% of his attempts. Rodrigues is taking his opponents to the mat on 45% of his tries and is able to thwart 85% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Leroy Duncan takes 3.82 strikes/minute while he dishes out 5.96 per minute. Rodrigues, in contrast, is absorbing 5.30 strikes/min and connects on 6.08 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Lukasz Brzeski (+225)

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Mick Parkin vs Lukasz Brzeski Pick, 7/27/2024 Predictions UFC 304 Odds

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