Michael Chiesa vs Max Griffin Pick, 12/07/2024 Predictions UFC 310 Odds

Michael Chiesa vs Max Griffin

UFC 310

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, December 7, 2024

Michael Chiesa will enter the Octagon with Max Griffin at UFC 310 on Saturday, December 7, 2024. The moneyline has Chiesa at -102 while Griffin is coming in at -118.

Michael "Maverick" Chiesa steps into the cage holding a record of 19-7-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Max "Pain" Griffin measures 5'11" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 20-10-0. The 39-year-old has an arm span of 76". Regarding significant strikes, Michael Chiesa connects on 1.86 per minute and Max Griffin is landing 3.92 significant strikes per min. Chiesa is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he tries while Griffin is landing 49%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Maverick" absorbs 1.72 significant strikes per minute while "Pain" takes 3.81. Chiesa also thwarts 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Griffin is able to curb 57% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding takedowns, Michael Chiesa is the more competent wrestler as he scores a takedown 3.35 times per 3 rounds. Chiesa is scoring a takedown on 51% of his attempts and is defending 60% of all takedown tries against him. Griffin is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 68% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to sub attempts, Chiesa is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 1.0 submission per 15 minutes while Griffin tries 0.3 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Michael Chiesa fought Tony Ferguson and took home the win by rear naked choke in round 1. Ferguson ended up landing 10 of 18 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Chiesa ended the night having landed 4 of 25 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Ferguson ended up landing 10 of 18, which means his percentage was 55%. He landed 4 of 9 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Chiesa landed 16% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 4 of 25. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 3 of 23 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Ferguson and 100% of them landed by Chiesa were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Max Griffin, he battled Jeremiah Wells and ended up getting the victory in the fight by split decision in round 3. Wells connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Griffin ended up landing 92% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Griffin ended up landing 49% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 26 of 53. He ended up landing 21 of 48 significant strikes directed at the head. Wells ended up connecting on 32 of 86 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 27 of 76 to the head. In regard to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Wells was 43 of 97 and Griffin ended up landing 36 of 65 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Clay Guida battles Chase Hooper. Guida will be looking to add a win to his career total of 38-21-0. The 42-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Hooper measures 6'1" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 14-3-1. The 25-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding grappling, Clay Guida takes his opponents down 3.13 times per 15 min and Chase Hooper is averaging a takedown 1.45 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Guida lands 2.64 strikes/min and lands 33% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Chase Hooper, who tags his opponent on 52% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 5.08 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Lukasz Brzeski is set to battle Kennedy Nzechukwu. Nzechukwu walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands 6'5". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 83". Brzeski stands in at 6'4" and is weighing in at 236 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 9-5-1 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 78". Regarding wrestling, Kennedy Nzechukwu thwarts 80% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 45% of his attempts. Brzeski is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his tries and prevents 36% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Nzechukwu takes 4.83 strikes/minute while he is landing 5.34 strikes/minute. Brzeski, in contrast, takes 3.51 strikes per min and is landing 4.90 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Michael Chiesa (-102)

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