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Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Hyder Amil Pick, 2/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 86 Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/5/2024

Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Hyder Amil

UFC Vegas 86

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, February 10, 2024

Melsik Baghdasaryan will enter the Octagon with Hyder Amil at UFC Vegas 86 on Saturday, February 10, 2024. The moneyline has Baghdasaryan priced at -245 while Amil is priced at +186.

Melsik "The Gun" Baghdasaryan has a record of 8-2-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Hyder "The Hurricane" Amil measures 5'9" and weighs 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his total of 8-0-0. The 33-year-old reaches 70". In the category of significant strikes, Melsik Baghdasaryan connects on 5.28 per min and Hyder Amil is connecting on 1.73 significant strikes per min. Baghdasaryan lands 61% of the significant strikes he tries and Amil connects on 52%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Gun" absorbs 3.06 significant strikes per minute while "The Hurricane" takes 1.47. Baghdasaryan also curbs 58% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Amil prevents 53% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Melsik Baghdasaryan ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 86 Melsik Baghdasaryan Hyder Amil
Opening Odds -245 +186
Record 8-2-0 8-0-0
Average Fight Time 11:46 15:00
Height 5'9" 5'9"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 70" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.28 1.73
Striking Accuracy 61% 52%

 

When it comes to grappling, Melsik Baghdasaryan is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.30 times per 3 rds. Baghdasaryan is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his tries and stopping 72% of all takedown tries against him. Amil is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he tries and defending 78% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding sub attempts, Baghdasaryan is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes while Amil looks to get 1.0 sub per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Melsik Baghdasaryan squared up with Tucker Lutz and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Lutz ended up landing 41 of 115 total strikes attempted in that fight. Baghdasaryan walked away from this fight having landed 74 of 122 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Lutz ended up landing 36 of 109, which means his percentage was 33%. He landed 14 of 71 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Baghdasaryan ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes by landing 64 of 108. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 32 of 66 pointed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes landed by Lutz and 78% of them connected on by Baghdasaryan were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Hyder Amil, he squared up with Emrah Sonmez and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Sonmez landed 54% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Amil ended up connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Amil connected on 52% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 26 of 50. He ended up connecting on 11 of 31 significant strikes to the head. Sonmez ended up connecting on 22 of 47 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 19 of 43 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Sonmez connected on 36 of 62 and Amil ended up connecting on 70 of 95 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Daniel Marcos squares up with Aori Qileng. Marcos looks to add a win to his total of 15-0-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Qileng comes in at 5'7" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 25-10-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 69". In the grappling category, Daniel Marcos is averaging a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds while Aori Qileng scores a takedown 1.64 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Marcos is connecting on 4.88 strikes per min and is connecting on 46% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Aori Qileng, who connects on 50% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 5.31 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Bruna Brasil is set to clash with Loma Lookboonmee. Lookboonmee steps into the Octagon holding a record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 61". Brasil stands 5'6" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her career total of 9-3-1. The 30-year-old reaches 65". Regarding wrestling, Loma Lookboonmee is able to deflect 74% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 50% of her tries. Brasil is taking her opponents to the mat on 66% of the tries she takes and thwarts 53% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Lookboonmee takes 2.58 strikes/min and she is dealing 4.14 strikes per min. Brasil, on the contrary, takes 3.94 strikes/min and is dealing 3.44 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Melsik Baghdasaryan (-245)

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