Max Griffin vs Jeremiah Wells Pick, 2/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 86 Odds

Max Griffin vs Jeremiah Wells

UFC Vegas 86

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, February 10, 2024

Max Griffin will take on Jeremiah Wells at UFC Vegas 86 on Saturday, February 10, 2024. The opener has Griffin at +142 while Wells is priced at -170.

Max "Pain" Griffin will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 19-10-0. The 38-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 76". Jeremiah Wells stands 5'9" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 12-3-1. The 37-year-old has a reach of 74". Concerning significant strikes, Max Griffin is connecting on 4.09 per minute while Jeremiah Wells lands 2.52 significant strikes per min. Griffin is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Wells is landing 45%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Pain" absorbs 3.94 significant strikes per min while Wells allows 1.14. Griffin also stops 57% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Wells is able to thwart 47% of the shots thrown.

In terms of wrestling, Max Griffin is the not as competent as a grappler as he scores a takedown 1.48 times per 3 rds. Griffin is finishing his takedown attempts on 41% of his attempts and is defending 69% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Wells is finishing his takedown tries on 43% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submission attempts, Griffin is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.3 subs per 15 minutes while Wells attempts 1.2 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Max Griffin faced Michael Morales and walked away with a loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Morales landed 73 of 165 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Griffin ended the night having landed 39 of 105 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Morales landed 72 of 164, giving him a percentage of 43%. He finished the fight landing 59 of 145 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Griffin landed 35% of his significant strikes by connecting on 36 of 102. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 28 of 93 pointed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Morales and 97% of them connected on by Griffin were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jeremiah Wells, he fought Carlston Harris and took a loss on the night by an anaconda choke in round 3. Harris ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Wells landed 27% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Wells ended up landing 37% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 18 of 48. He connected on 16 of 46 significant strikes aimed at the head. Harris landed 5 of 19 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 1 of 14 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Harris ended up landing 19 of 36 while Wells ended up landing 41 of 78 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Zac Pauga meets Bogdan Guskov. Pauga looks to add a win to his career total of 7-2-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Guskov comes in at 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 14-3-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 76". In the grappling category, Zac Pauga gets his opposition to the mat 0.42 times per 3 rds while Bogdan Guskov scores a takedown 0.80 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Pauga lands 4.44 strikes per min and is landing 62% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Bogdan Guskov, who lands 32% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 2.12 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Hyder Amil is set to enter the Octagon with Melsik Baghdasaryan. Baghdasaryan has a record of 8-2-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Amil measures 5'9" and weighs 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his total of 8-0-0. The 33-year-old reaches 70". In terms of grappling, Melsik Baghdasaryan is able to deflect 72% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the times he tries. Amil is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his tries and is able to thwart 78% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Baghdasaryan is absorbing 3.06 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 5.28 per minute. Amil, on the other hand, is absorbing 1.47 strikes/min and deals 1.73 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Max Griffin (+142)

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