Matthew Semelsberger vs Preston Parsons Pick, 1/13/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 84 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/8/2024

Matthew Semelsberger vs Preston Parsons

UFC Vegas 84

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, January 13, 2024

Matthew Semelsberger will enter the Octagon against Preston Parsons at UFC Vegas 84 on Saturday, January 13, 2024. The opening line has Semelsberger at -125 while Parsons is priced at +105.

Matthew "Semi The Jedi" Semelsberger looks to add a win to his total of 11-6-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The switch fighter reaches 75". Preston "Pressure" Parsons stands 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 10-4-0. The 28-year-old reaches 71". When talking about significant strikes, Matthew Semelsberger is connecting on 4.06 per minute and Preston Parsons is landing 4.14 significant strikes per minute. Semelsberger lands 43% of the significant strikes he attempts and Parsons connects on 56%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Semi The Jedi" takes 4.36 significant strikes per min and "Pressure" allows 3.76. Semelsberger also thwarts 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Parsons is able to stop 49% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Matthew Semelsberger ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 84	Matthew Semelsberger	Preston Parsons
Opening Odds	-125	+105
Record	11-6-0	10-4-0
Average Fight Time	11:27	11:16
Height	6'1"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.06	4.14
Striking Accuracy	43%	56%

Concerning takedowns, Matthew Semelsberger is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.02 times per 15 minutes. Semelsberger is scoring a takedown on 58% of his attempts and defending 50% of all takedown tries against him. Parsons is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 85% of the tries against him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Semelsberger is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.1 finishes per 15 min while Parsons looks to get 3.5 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Matthew Semelsberger went up against Uros Medic and took a loss on the night by way of a spinning back elbow to the head in round 3. Medic landed 76 of 135 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Semelsberger walked away from this fight having landed 53 of 121 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Medic landed 69 of 128, giving him a percentage of 53%. He finished the fight landing 49 of 98 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Semelsberger ended up landing 43% of his significant strikes by sticking 52 of 120. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 31 of 91 aimed at the head. 72% of the significant strikes connected on by Medic and 80% of them landed by Semelsberger were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Preston Parsons, he faced off with Trevin Giles and wound up walking away in defeat by split decision in round 3. Giles landed 61% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Parsons ended up connecting on 80% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Parsons ended up landing 44% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 42 of 95. He landed 24 of 77 significant strikes directed at the head. Giles ended up connecting on 55 of 108 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 51 of 102 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Giles ended up landing 71 of 129 and Parsons was 62 of 130 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Marcus McGhee squares up against Gaston Bolanos. McGhee looks to add a victory to his record of 8-1-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Bolanos stands 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 7-3-0. The 31-year-old stretches 69". In terms of takedowns, Marcus McGhee is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 15 min while Gaston Bolanos is averaging a takedown 0.90 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, McGhee is connecting on 3.42 strikes per min and connects on 48% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Gaston Bolanos, who tags his opponent on 49% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 4.20 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Taylor Lapilus is set to square up with Farid Basharat. Basharat holds a record of 11-0-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Lapilus measures in at 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 19-3-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In terms of wrestling, Farid Basharat is able to stop 83% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 53% of his attempts. Lapilus is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 81% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Basharat absorbs 2.34 strikes/min while he is connecting on 5.20 per minute. Lapilus, on the other hand, is absorbing 2.27 strikes/min and is dealing 4.18 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Matthew Semelsberger (-125)

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Matthew Semelsberger vs Preston Parsons Pick, 1/13/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 84 Odds

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